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Reza Aslan

Mission Accomplished: He Was Right

From forgotten scandals to "The Last Dick," read the entire Daily Beast Farewell to Bush Chronicles.

Farewell Chronicles with Hat Would the war in Gaza still be happening if we'd listened to George Bush? The Daily Beast's Reza Aslan on why Bush has every right to say "I told you so" when it comes to the Middle East.

The devastating war in Gaza between Hamas militants and the mighty Israeli army has once again raised a chorus of criticism about the foolishness of George W. Bush’s democracy agenda in the Middle East. “Another pillar in his crusade to spread democracy” is how Margaret Carlson, writing for Bloomberg, describes the rise of Hamas. But the truth is that whatever violence or instability may have resulted from the push to promote democracy in the Middle East, the solution to lasting peace, prosperity, and sociopolitical reform throughout the region, and especially in Palestine, is more democracy, not less.

It was four years ago that a bumptious George W. Bush, fresh from his stunning re-election, took the podium on a cold January morning in Washington, D.C., and laid out an audacious—some would say foolhardy—vision for his second term as president.

Had Hamas been given the opportunity to govern and fail (as it no doubt would have), would it still enjoy the popular support it receives from Palestinians?

“It is the policy of the United States to seek and support the growth of democratic movements and institutions in every nation and culture, with the ultimate goal of ending tyranny in our world,” he declared, in what was arguably his most eloquent moment as president. “All who live in tyranny and hopelessness can know: the United States will not ignore your oppression, or excuse your oppressors. When you stand for your liberty, we will stand with you.” This was not the first time an American president had pledged to support democracy around the world. It was not even the first time this president had done so. But what made this speech different was that Bush appeared to be announcing a radical transformation in American foreign policy, wherein the promotion of democracy would form the foundation on which relations between the US and the rest of the world, particularly the Middle East, would henceforth be based.

Perhaps for that very reason, Bush was fiercely ridiculed for the speech, both at home and abroad. Critics claimed his florid talk of democracy was nothing more than a means of legitimizing the invasion of Iraq—an excuse to wage unending war in the Middle East under the pretext of spreading “freedom” and “liberty.” His promise to stand with democratic reformers “facing repression, prison, or exile” was widely viewed as inauthentic and hypocritical, especially considering that these reformers were facing their trials at the hands of America’s dictatorial allies—Egypt, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, and Morocco—all of whom had spent decades convincing the Western powers that even the slightest weakening of their regimes would result in the immediate takeover of their countries by radical Islamists. (The United Nations has dubbed this specious argument “the legitimacy of blackmail.”)

Yet what few of Bush’s critics seemed to notice is that the peoples of the Middle East—those who “live in tyranny and hopelessness”—actually took the president at his word. In fact, despite widespread apprehension toward the US in general, and deep hatred for Bush in particular, large majorities throughout the region told pollsters they believed the US truly wanted to see the Muslim world move toward greater democracy. A few months after the president’s second inaugural speech, Gallup International found that 78 percent of people in the Middle East considered democracy “the best form of government.” One year later, in 2006, a Pew poll found that while the majority of the Western public thought democracy was “a Western way of doing things that would not work in most Muslim countries,” pluralities or majorities in every single Muslim country surveyed flatly rejected that argument and called for democracy in their own countries. Indeed, a wave of democratic fervor in Algeria, Yemen, Tunisia, Bahrain, Jordan, Morocco, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia followed Bush’s speech. A renewed sense of hope and opportunity brought scores of people who had spent their lives in autocratic societies to the polls to choose, even if in the most limited of ways, their political destinies. The results were astounding, if a bit unexpected in Washington.

In Lebanon, Hezbollah picked up an impressive 14 seats in Parliament, an electoral result far more consistent with the percentage of Shiites in that country. In Jordan, the Islamic Action Front, an Islamist party dedicated to democratic reform, won 15 percent of the seats in Parliament. In Egypt, despite violent repression from the state security forces, who stood near polling places shooting at voters, members of the Muslim Brotherhood gained an astonishing 88 of the 444 seats in Egypt’s Parliament, essentially becoming the country’s first legitimate opposition party. And of course, Hamas candidates, running on a surprisingly united platform that, by the way, barely made mention of Israel but focused instead on the incompetence and corruption of the ruling Fatah Party, swept parliamentary elections in Palestine. (This was smart politicking, as 63 percent of Palestinians who voted for Hamas rejected the group’s extreme position regarding the destruction of Israel and believed that Hamas should recognize Israel’s right to exist.) For a moment, it seemed that the political sands might be shifting across the Middle East.

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January 13, 2009 | 7:14am
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tommytimp

Nope. No, not, and never.

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9:36 am, Jan 13, 2009

jaguarxjs

'Yet what few of Bush's critics seemed to notice is that the peoples of the Middle East-those who "live in tyranny and hopelessness"-actually took the president at his word.' - those are people we call 'suckers'.

Yes, all very nice what President Bush said , but the fact is that he did nothing to follow through and ended up stifling democracy and supporting undemocratic regimes in the Middle East.

Mr. Aslan is right, wouldn't it be nice if Dubyah had the ability to DO what he SAID. It'd be nice if I could turn into a leprechaun and make pots of gold, but that isn't going to happen either.

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10:02 am, Jan 13, 2009

sebasma

I think the author is a fool. 1999 was the last year nobody died in Israel due to terrorism. Both Israeli's and Palestinians accomplished that achievement by working together. That was when both parties were actively involved in peace talks and had hope of success. Bush is the one who abandoned those talks, and abandoned the troubles as a policy while unilaterally supporting one side in a conflict where both sides have valid issues. The first item of Bush's first national security team meeting according to Paul O'Neil, who attended, was to end substantial involvement in the peace talks. "Some times it has to get worse before it gets better".There it is, Bush's strategy, make the situation worse!!

The reason the last eight years have been a disaster is because Bush has isolated us from our major Arab allies, and abandoned even the appearance of being a fair broker.

Hamas was elected after all, largely because Bush insisted on the elections when any idiot could have told him Hamas would win those elections. Currently Abbas's term as President has expired and he's clinging to power anyway.When he does submit to elections in the near future, it's very likely Hamas will win leadership in the west bank too. Not because Hamas hasn't been allowed to fail, as the author implies; but because the Palestinian people have witnessed electing moderates doesn't buy them any moderation on the part of the Israelis or the United States. Their lands continue to be confiscated (ongoing settlement building in the occupied territories outside of Israeli's boarders), Their towns continue to be separated by 600 roadblocks. Their innocent citizens continue to be killed on an order of 10 or 20 to one of the innocent citizens of Israel. It's no wonder why Hamas is gaining support, and Bush hasn't been right on anything in that region in eight years.

The argument that no nation would live under rocket attacks is a farce.The fact is Israel herself requires the Palestinians to live lives under an embargo, and periodic guided missile attacks which kill many more people than the Hamas rockets ever have and likely ever will.

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10:31 am, Jan 13, 2009

FNYGY1

Extra! Extra! U.S. Actions Don't Live Up to U.S. Rhetoric. Hasn't it always been thus?

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10:35 am, Jan 13, 2009

sfraser85

the gaza elections were a monumental step forward in the region, but in typical bush fashion, they were mishandled from the beginning. the us backed their horse, and when it lost, they refused to view hamas as legitimate... so once again, in this situation, bush was all talk and no substance.

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10:37 am, Jan 13, 2009

FNYGY1

It's important to remember that the Bush Doctrine is preventive war - not promotion of democracy. Saving the World for Democracy has been the American Brand since at least Wilson. Mostly, we've Saved the World for Capitalism, frankly.

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10:38 am, Jan 13, 2009

sebasma

Democracy is not the key to peace in the Israeli troubles. The keys are to grow moderates on both sides through even handed dealings.Then when we have grown moderates, to take an active role in negotiating a settlment.Bush has spent the last eight years growing extremists on both sides of these troubles.

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10:41 am, Jan 13, 2009

muddog

Bush was "ridiculed" for that speech because HOW the Conservative / Neocon mindset took to solving Middle East problems, by the barrel of a Gun. In addition just as Bush was babbling about Democracy his own actions such as torture, rendition, Iraq War etc, hardly gave him much credibility abroad, most especially with the Middle East. What does Bush and Co think "Democracy", "Ending Tyranny" etc looks like? They recklessly assume simply willing our way into a society will somehow transform them into SUV loving, Mall Shopping Democratic people....

The NeoCon world View has died an ugly death, just as their failed policies continue to crumble they still purport that they stand in the high ground.

We will pay dearly for Bush's reckless middle east policies ( or lack therof for ) years to come.......

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10:44 am, Jan 13, 2009

medic209

To: jaguarxjs,

I think it i funny how a president can make all kinds of promises during campaigning, but the truth of the matter is, he can not do anything without the House and Senate.
In this case, President Bush had to fight with a democratic majority, that would veto anything he suggested. I think they would veto his lunch order.

The idea of getting out of Iraq is all good in theory, but the reality of it all is, there are still the wannabe's who want to control the world through violence.
And the grim fact is, the world is going to be at war as long as the human race cannot separate their religion from government.

That is what makes the United States, even with flaws, a great country to live in. That, my friend, is why people from all religions, race, and countries come to live here.

There have been times I did not agree with President Bush, but I understand the political "games" that are played. I feel EVERYONE in Washington, D.C. is to blame for all of the United States problems. It would be a breath of fresh air to replace everyone in the capitol with honest people without hidden agendas. (now I will step off of my soap box, thank you)

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10:48 am, Jan 13, 2009

GMCaesar

The trouble is, was and always will be that democracy is often accompanied by violence and extremism. Saddam's Iraq was a very peaceful place, when it wasn't warring with its neighbor, or with us. Political scientists know that the introduction of democracy into a nation unleashes powerful and often destructive forces. There are so many examples of this: civil rights for blacks led to years of terrorist violence by white supremacists. Hitler was an elected official.

We must ask ourselves: do we want a safer world, or a more just world? If we want to promote democracy in the Middle East, we need to face the fact that we are likely to suffer as a result. Just because Hamas might fail to govern effectively if left alone does not mean that their failure will give birth to an organized opposition of moderates in the near term. Nor will it guarantee that foreign policy conducted by Islamic democracies (e.g. Iran) will make the world safer.

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10:56 am, Jan 13, 2009

sfraser85

" If we want to promote democracy in the Middle East, we need to face the fact that we are likely to suffer as a result. Just because Hamas might fail to govern effectively if left alone does not mean that their failure will give birth to an organized opposition of moderates in the near term."

did you happen to miss the examples cited in the piece that contradict the premise of your argument? and im pretty sure that violence against african-americans was not a direct result of the civil rights movement...

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11:11 am, Jan 13, 2009

citivas

The trouble with this article is that the author and headline writers are being coy/sarcastic when they say Bush was "right" - at least that is my generous interpretation, as opposed to just plain dumb. But by saying it so starkly it puts the reader in the entirely wrong frame of mind as they read it. If you get all the way through its clear that the real thesis is that things might have been better had we not interfered with the democratic process in Palestine. In other words, had Bush actually meant a word of what he said and actually acted in accordance with the ideals of his speech, things might have been better. Ha Ha. It is of course highly debatable whether that's true. But I presume the author doesn't really believe that there was any sincerity in Bush's statement about democracy. There was never the slightest evidence or action that Bush before or after his speech intended for the U.S. to truly be a defender of democracy anywhere, other than where it held a specific strategic advantage to the U.S. and only under our terms, which really is a contradiction of true democracy. Put aside that it took almost no time for Bush to say that democracy in Palestine doesn't count when the results don't turn out the way he wanted them. If we are really the selfless defenders of democracy, why are we not in Zimbabwe right now? That is a democracy clearly under siege by a dictator. Why are none of our closest allies in the Arab world democracies and why aren't we don't anything about it? The truth is in the Arab world democracy (which more closely if imperfectly reflects the will of the people) usually leads to hostility toward the U.S. Even in Iraq, the more democratic control we selectively and slowly hand them, the less friendly toward the U.S. they become. So joke's over - clearly the U.S. has never been a supporter of democracy. And by the way, let's not lay this all on Bush. We have been touting defender of democracy status for at least 60 years and it has never been true. It wasn't true in Korea or Vietnam or in any number of other countries we have inserted ourselves into over the years. Just about every President has made a similar claim, even as we funneled money to dictators and terrorist groups that were opposed to leaders unfavorable to U.S. interests.

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11:39 am, Jan 13, 2009

roger37

Bush's "spreading" of democracy (including torture) has been the most effective recruitment tool for the Mid-East jihadists.
To say that W was right is a joke.

Anyway, that whole strategy came from Cheney. Read "Angler" when you have some time, and you'll see the greatest danger to the Constitution in modern times.

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12:12 pm, Jan 13, 2009

pkimelman

@medic209, "had to fight with a democratic majority" - you have got to be kidding! This was 4 years ago. The Republicans ran both houses of congress at that time and rubber stamped pretty much anything Bush came up with (and he vetoed nothing they gave to him).
The problem is as others have noted that it was empty and hollow rhetoric. The reality was that they wanted to use the pre-emptive war in Iraq to re-mold it as an "example". In reality, it was a counter-example. Further, Bush supported the worst dictatorships in the region both to ensure the flow of oil (no point knocking over the Apple cart when we buy apples) and the right to use the Countries for our military (supplies, flyover, bases, etc).
The Gaza situation in part exists because the US pushed them to vote quickly, and Hamas won. The author does not seem to have noticed that implication.

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12:32 pm, Jan 13, 2009

themartian

Maybe the better way to look at this is to look at a different situation--Algeria. Democratic elections that resulted in a coup the US supported. The question is, do you support democratic institutions that succeed based on non-democratic goals?

The group that won in Algeria won on promises of making Algeria an Islamist country. Is there a point to democracy if leads to democracy's repeal?

Looking at both Gaza and Algeria, it is easy to say that they are both popular responses to overwhelming corruption. Yet all the talk in peace negotiations seems to focus on dividing the spoils of war rather than protecting the foundations of civilization in these districts.

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12:41 pm, Jan 13, 2009
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Mission Accomplished: He Was Right

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