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Peter Osnos

Will Google Save the News?

2 women at laptops, Google sign Jens Meyer / AP Photo While newspapers are dying, Google is consolidating its power. Can the Internet giant be persuaded to share its profits?

In a period of epic economic crisis, Google, Apple, and Amazon still are doing fine selling advertisements and/or media online. Their dominance over how we get entertainment and information of all kinds is increasingly clear, and the suppliers of that content have to reckon with the fact that the mighty tend to use their power to extract ever more in revenue and influence.

If the past is a guide, there will come a time when these behemoths essentially are monopolies, and society will rise up in protest, to the relief and, usually, the benefit of everyone except them. Consider AT&T—not today’s reconstituted company, but the old “Ma Bell,” which controlled America’s telephone system until 1982, when a federal judge in Washington ordered it broken up into what became known as Baby Bells, releasing a surge of energy and competition, the impact of which, for better or worse, we are living with now. And there is Microsoft, which was synonymous with operating software and was so tough on rivals that eventually it was forced, again by the courts but also by public opinion, to change its business strategy, opening the way (among other factors) for the rise of Google, Apple, and Amazon.

There are a lot of ideas circulating for saving the news business…but getting Google (and its smaller competitors) to share revenue with creators of content would be a money stream that essentially does not now exist.

Google does have competitors, such as Yahoo and MSN, but its reach is pervasive, and the others seem destined for irrelevance, recalling the battle between Microsoft and Netscape in the 1990s. Remember Netscape?

Google’s position is so strong that, even when it enables a breakthrough in the rapidly evolving means of distributing information, there is a perceived downside. Take the settlement Google reached last fall with book publishers and authors that established a royalty model for the use of books in copyright, granting Google the right to scan millions of books for access online. My view is that the principle of payment for the distribution of book content is hugely important and should be extended, posthaste, to cover material from newspapers and magazines (about which more in a moment). But the danger of the settlement, as brilliantly argued by Robert Darnton, the librarian of Harvard University, in the current New York Review of Books, is that Google will now become the repository of all those books online that will, inevitably, lead the company to the arrogance that comes with supremacy.

The public image of Google is still mainly positive, because users of its many services get them for “free,” although users do pay substantial fees to the Internet providers and telecoms that deliver them to us. But don’t be fooled. Anyone seeking to make a business deal with Google—including the book industry—learns that the company drives a very hard bargain, has very deep pockets, and is relentlessly profit-driven, as befits its status in the marketplace. Darnton forecasts, and other experts I have spoken to agree, that whatever Google’s stance today, the record of monopolies is that they eventually take advantage of their power as masters of the universe, until that becomes intolerable and they are challenged, one way or another.

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February 3, 2009 | 6:30am
Comments ()
ahoving

newspapers could start publishing online tomorrow, and there are plenty of ways to monetize the content -- even without Google.

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9:06 am, Feb 3, 2009
apostleis

Maybe if they printed real news.

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10:01 am, Feb 3, 2009
jvdelong

http://convergencelaw.typepad.com/convergences/2009/02/overfishing-the-news -commons.html
February 03, 2009
Overfishing the News Commons

The dismal state of newspaper finances has produced a spate of articles about the news business, plus a website called newspaperproject.org to defend the relevance and value of news organizations. "More People Will Read A Newspaper Today Than Watched Yesterday's Big Game."

It's a good point, and people do indeed love the news -- they love it on Drudge, Google, Yahoo, and a zillion other websites that feed on the product produced by the newspapers and their wire services. The news organizations have made the news into a commons. Seduced by the free culture-ites of academia, they do not protect their intellectual property, allowing anyone to drop his fishing line into the ocean of content and hook some advertising dollars.

The one solution rarely proposed is to charge for content. An exception: Peter Osnos of the Century Foundation, who says: "With the print newspaper and magazine business model irreversibly in decline, these enterprises have to start demanding payment for use of their material, or they will disappear." He suggests starting with Google: "[Google] spokesmen, especially CEO Eric Schmidt, have repeatedly said they would like to help newspapers, if only they could figure out how. Well, how about sitting down with representatives of the floundering news gatherers and devising a system that would pay royalties for click-throughs supported by advertising?"

Good luck with that project, but Osnos is right. If producers of content cannot monetize their work, then they will stop producing it, and we will be left with a rump business of amateur productions.

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10:08 am, Feb 3, 2009
apparently

Oh great. Google has essentially ruined much that is printed online by insisting on keywords that will make it easier for their engine to search terms. Will they enforce this stupidity with the news as well? If so, it will be as unreadable as so much is on the internet. Thanks Google. You are a great search engine - sort of!

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10:24 am, Feb 3, 2009
bwacker

only 3 comments... do people not care? or is it simply too late to for the newspaper industry to 'pull-back' it's content and require a subscription model online? I remember ESPN used a subscription model- where they held back 'valued' content... I don't see that any longer. ESPN has done a great job creating a comprehensive site, or 'sports portal'. The value of their content allows ESPN to sell advertising on their site, providing a significant revenue stream. Perhaps the Newspapers need to build better websites? or they need to do a better job of communicating to their traditional advertisers that 'banner ads' are measurable and can be effective... The Newspaper industry needs to embrace technology and revamp their Ad depts so they can produce cost effective electronic advertisements for their advertisers/local businesses. google's model works well, but google doesn't know the local landscape/habits as well as the local newspaper should. Even though the internet allows me to read my local news site from anywhere in the world with a connection, there is still proximal value in advertising that google can only attempt to simulate. In the end, Newspapers are dinosaurs who refused to acknowledge and embrace the changing landscape/horizon. Instead of lamenting and bemoaning how their revenue stream dried up, they should have- and could have made changes years ago before google became the powerhouse that it is. I feel for them, but they did it to themselves by not spending enough effort being predictive about the future of their industry/livelihood ...

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11:33 am, Feb 3, 2009
JosieBrown

Screw click-throughs. The model should be "reach" (to use a radio term), or as they say in online media, "eyeballs" It has worked for every other medium (TV, mags, news, radio) without the built-in audience research platform that the web currently has. Which brings me to Google's current role: "Distribution." If content providers push for revenue from Google, they will only get deleted from its pages-- which takes them further away from their audiences. If anything, content providers should stand united in taking the revenue model AWAY from click-throughs and sell based on unique viewers (reach) -- or page views (frequency) instead. As for breaking up the Google monopoly, that will only happen if a conglomerate of some sort -- cable companies, perhaps in a joint venture with content providers -- comes together and builds their own browser, the publicize it as the one to go for, for UNIQUE content.

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12:38 pm, Feb 3, 2009
auto740946

If this site didn't do lead capture before it allowed comments, you would get more comments. But yeah, people obviously don't care or they would be buying papers, and yes it is probably way too late. Sticking your collective heads in the sand for a decade is not a good business strategy.

The author of this article is clearly clueless and has a limited grasp of how Google works. All I hear is a whining "we want our [ludicrously overvalued] ad revenue back!"

As for Netscape, that's not the best example... ever hear of Firefox? Trace the lineage. Business models change with the times, and the traditional newspaper model is stone cold dead.

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2:13 pm, Feb 3, 2009
dmolbeast

This article is a mess. Google isn't in the content business -- it is a search engine which points users at content that, if they click on it, they get to read. They publish snippets, and if that's enough for folks to survive on, then it could be considered competitive.

The main reason Google is a target is because it's successful, so folks want a share of the revenue -- it's less trouble than making your own business successful (see: net neutrality).

The newspaper business is dying because of classified ad revenue, not content access problems. Why don't you pick on Craigslist?

I, for one, love the world of books. I would like to have journalism maintain high standards, and have reporters and editors get paid. In a nice, magical, unchanging world, that would all just happen. I must say, articles like these stink of moral hazard. It's a Nick Carr retread.

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11:51 pm, Feb 3, 2009
Veronicaxy

"Google does have competitors, such as Yahoo and MSN, but its reach is pervasive, and the others seem destined for irrelevance, recalling the battle between Microsoft and Netscape in the 1990s. Remember Netscape?"

Not so fast, that's an apples to orange comparison. Yes they all have search but that's like saying saying all cars are the same because they have tires. Those three companies are powerful content brokers in distinct ways.

Google KO'ed Yahoo off it's throne as data catalog and distributor, no doubt. And needs better competition (I'd say regulation if we learned anything from MS), agreed.

Yahoo pretty much gave up search but they could afford to. They own a completely different and just as powerful competency: two of the most visited sites on earth: Yahoo (#1) and Yahoo Japan (#10). They are experts in an area Google just doesn't get: consumers and generating compelling content (Google sees content as data and consumers as clicks). They also have a new CEO that is a very experienced technologist and leader looking to make her mark and knows how to productize: Carol Bartz.

MSN is also an incredible stronghold as a portal because of their browser being in the majority of people's systems at home and work. And Microsoft still owns the people (developers) who fabricate most of the computing applications today.

So the competencies are going separate, but I'd say equally powerful ways. I'd say the other two might come back for a very interesting third act.

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1:25 am, Feb 4, 2009
Snertly

So, I'm going to guess the Century Foundation gets its name from focusing on ideas from the 1900s? Begging your pardon, but you don't really seem to be up on your subject matter.

"In a period of epic economic crisis, Google, Apple, and Amazon still are doing fine selling advertisements and/or media online."

Google may be doing better than the average newspaper but they still lost some 50% of their value between 5/08 and 11/08. May seem "fine" to you, but I doubt they see it the same way.

"And there is Microsoft, which was synonymous with operating software and was so tough on rivals that eventually it was forced, again by the courts but also by public opinion, to change its business strategy, opening the way (among other factors) for the rise of Google, Apple, and Amazon."

No no, no, and no. While Microsoft was indeed convicted of predatory monopolistic practices, the remedies imposed in the US bordered on trivial, and had effectively nothing to do with the success of Google, Apple, and/or Amazon.

I think it would be easy to make the argument that Google already helps newspapers, at least those with an effective online presence. Google does not publish news. Instead, they compile indexes of online information, including online information provided by newspapers, and serve up pointers back to the originating site based on the search requests of users. If you have a website and Google search results direct people to your website, then you benefit as a direct result.

To say that Google should pay for the privilege of funneling traffic to a newspaper's website is an argument based on nothing more than the knowledge that Google has deeper pockets than any single newspaper. It's short-sighted and foolish wishful thinking.

Probably a lot like the angry blather than filled the scribe's guild hall when it became obvious that Gutenberg was going to succeed with his invention.

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5:42 pm, Feb 4, 2009
godnosnotru

Microsoft has less in common with AT&T than with the dinosaurs, for they are both huge monoliths unaccustomed to nimble moves. MS did not write DOS; it only retailed it for IBM, thus catching the huge wave they have been riding since. Not the word processor nor the spreadsheet nor the browser did they discover, but once someone else had done so, they copied the program and used their prime monopoly on desktop real estate to feather their own nest. Game boxes? The Internets? They mount and ride off in all directions. This is precisely why every other word out of the mouths of Gates and Ballmer is "innovation."

The newspaper enterprise is another that seems a bit long in the tooth, like the Brontosaurus. As for the notion that a more adept model should kick back some funds for the old and the infirm, it's an idea that has been around for a while and should be argued on that basis, with whoever speaks for such as Herbert Spencer on the one hand and William Jennings Bryan on the other stepping up to the mic.

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10:45 pm, Feb 4, 2009
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Will Google Save the News?

by Peter Osnos

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