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Mission Accomplished?
Maya Alleruzzo / AP Photo
Today’s pullout from Iraqi cities vindicates Bush’s "surge" strategy, says former Marine Zachary Iscol. The change in tactics—which reversed our fortunes in Iraq—could even help Obama in Iran.
As a Marine, I learned that peace is predicated on compromise, not superior firepower or belligerence.
Today, witnessing U.S. troops withdraw from Iraqi cities, I find the right’s accusations of appeasement levied on President Obama about most issues in the Middle East incredibly ironic. Today’s withdrawal, perhaps the greatest success of the Bush administration, would not have occurred if we hadn’t learned to appease.
Today’s withdrawal, perhaps the greatest success of the Bush administration, would not have occurred if we hadn’t learned to appease.
When President Bush announced the "surge," on January 11, 2007, he was announcing much more than the deployment of 35,000 additional troops to Iraq. He also was adopting a set of successful tactics that had already been implemented successfully by a few industrious officers. It amounted to a radically different approach to how troops would be employed on the ground.
In 2004, I took little risk with the lives of my Marines. It was simply too dangerous. If a vehicle failed to stop as it crashed through our checkpoint, we used deadly force. If a military-aged male was in the vicinity after a roadside bomb detonated, he would be detained. I often wonder if some of our tactics created more insurgents than we were able to kill or capture.
In the violent summer months of 2004, we put the risk on the civilian population, but in 2007, as the surge began and General David Petraeus took over, the force began to accept more risk in order to protect the population. Troops moved out of large, fortified bases and lived in smaller outposts among the population. They patrolled more often on foot instead of in armored vehicles. At first, casualties went up, but then something remarkable happened: Coalition casualties plummeted.
FM 3-24, the U.S. Army and Marine Corps Counterinsurgency Manual, published on December 16, 2006, encapsulates a number of the paradoxes of counterinsurgency. It turns out, “The more you protect the force, the less secure you may be.” And “Sometimes the more force is used, the less effective it is.”
Perhaps former Bushies are so quick to criticize Obama because they never really bought into the change in tactics and strategy that reversed our fortunes in Iraq. Over time, it was our military, mainly junior officers and NCOs, who realized that the vast majority of people in Iraq were not our enemy—but that our tactics and emphasis on force were turning many of them into enemies. This, more than anything else, is the Achilles’ heel of the counterinsurgent.
Antagonizing and creating new enemies is much more dangerous than failing to kill one, which is why Obama’s limited response to the political unrest and demonstrations in Iran is commendable. Action or support from the United States would largely alienate the demonstrators from greater support from the population of Iran. As the counterinsurgency manual states, “Sometimes, doing nothing is the best reaction” especially when action would be counterproductive or foster greater resentment. Those critical of Obama’s initially tepid response would do better to explain what they hope to accomplish and how through more active support for the demonstrators in Iran.
In 2004, as a young Marine lieutenant, I gave a poster of George Washington crossing the Delaware River to a local tribal leader named Sheik Jabbar. I was 25 years old and he was a foot taller than me, regal, wise, and twice my age. As I handed him the poster, I explained that he had the opportunity to be his nation’s Thomas Jefferson. He graciously accepted the poster and then asked me if I meant he would write his country’s declaration of independence, be its ambassador to France, or serve as its president. He then listed the names of his family’s patriarchs going back 1,200 years. He wanted to be like his forefathers, not mine.
Last Friday, Obama clearly articulated that what is going on in Iran is not about us. It is about the Iranian people seeking justice for themselves. Obama understands, much better than I did, the folly in thinking otherwise. He also understands the incredible danger of taking action and siding with the protesters. Creating the illusion that the protesters are American pawns would alienate them and fracture their ranks. Sometimes doing nothing is the best reaction.
Over kabobs, chai tea, and the hookah, I learned a tremendous amount about Iraq’s history and local issues from Sheik Jabbar, and he would often complain to me about the local city council. Unelected bodies, the city councils had been appointed by the U.S.-led Coalition Provisional Authority with the intent that they would become legislative bodies after elections were held. For Sheik Jabbar and most of the local people, they were an illegitimate and corrupt governing body that would siphon funds for local municipal projects for personal gain. I soon learned that the tribal councils were much more democratic and just than our appointed councils, but we treated them as an archaic remnant of Iraq’s past and alienated them. So they came to see us as occupiers, supported al Qaeda as liberators, and fought against us.
But in 2005, two years before the surge, along the Euphrates River Valley, Marine company commanders began working closely with tribal leaders, shifting their emphasis from promoting democracy to promoting the peace. Former enemies became close allies. Soon battalion commanders and regimental commanders were following the path laid out to them by junior officers. The generals followed. Soon even Bush was gripping and grinning with the tribal leaders of Iraq as Democrats in Congress cried appeasement and debated the merits of a bill deriding the Maliki government for offering asylum to former nationalist insurgents with American blood on their hands. Almost overnight, the most violent province in Iraq became one of the most peaceful. This willingness to appease fostered the peace that now enables us to withdraw our troops from Iraq’s cities.
I recently returned to Fallujah, this time as a journalist, and I was astonished at how different the city had become. Four years earlier, the city lay in ruin. It reeked of death and was littered with trash and human remains. As I accompanied one of the last Marine patrols through the city, I wondered where we would be and how long we would still be there if we had never learned to appease.







Well said.
Thanks for not warping your testimony into partisan sniping like so many other authors on this site.
Achieving the fragile peace in Iraq is not a "success" inside of a military operation that should never have occurred in the first place.
Be glad that the factional fighting is down but Iraq could descend into the factional fighting that Saddam was blamed for at any time.
The "Surge" did not achieve anything because the factions had already moved away from each other before the added US troops ever touched their boots to Iraqi soil.
There's still a rocky road ahead for Iraqis and violence between sects. Obama will never have to deal with Saddam Hussein and his perverted sons, constant fly-over zones, Iraq threatening it's neighbors, UN sanctions that didn't work, nor the corrupt oil-for-food program that built Saddam many palaces. And almost everyone including John Kerry believed there were WMD's. So thank you President Bush for the surge and for tackling many really tough issues.
If the writer knew anything about Iraq and Al Qaeda he would be scary.
When Bush invaded Iraq all he did was make Bin Laden a prophet.
Bin Laden told the Muslim world we would invade Iraq for there oil.
So what does Bush do. Invade Iraq with any excuse he could.
Bush had a different reason for invading Iraq every 3 months.
Remember when the republicans cared about the Iraqi people but the rest of us were traitors.
Let's not forget Bush and the state dept had no clue they were about to turn the country over to decedents and former Iranian's. They thought the country was divided by Bathists and Non-Bathists. They had no idea there were two different types of Islam. WTF.
Bin Laden plan was to provoke us into a prolonged war in the Middle East while bankrupting our country.
Bush did everything Bin Laden wanted him to do.
You almost have to wonder who he was working for with his family ties to the Bin Laden family.
On Sept 18th 2008 our country was officially broke.
Stuck in two wars we can't win. The Real Estate market crashing would have hurt. But the pain is extended because we have wasted so much in Iraq.
Bin Laden could have come out of his condo and from the balcony of some rich Muslim nation he could have told the world.
Mission Accomplished.
That is the story of the Bush years. They just don't want to tell you. We lost.
So, what has Obama done to find Osama?
The Bush administration failed massively by insisting, month after month, year after year, as things consistently got worse and worse and worse, that no strategy change was required.
Neither Bush nor McCain should take credit for any success in Iraq. We started handing paychecks out to the people who used to be trying to kill us first. We had a significantly more competent General take over (that actually corresponds most closely with the date that the violence stopped increasing and started decreasing), Moqtada al-Sadr declared a ceasefire (admittedly one he couldn't entirely force "his" people to respect).
What the deceivers (sorry, I can't see much of another explanation) like to say is that the troop levels had something to do with it. McCain supporters, especially. But, you see, coalition troop strength never reached its highs of Nov-Dec 2005 during the 'surge' and, for McCain supporters, when he proposed another 20,000 troops it would have been a roughly 2.5% increase over the previous troop total.
http://www.joshwantsthenobelprize.com/blog/combined_surge.gif
No offense, but you were too much in the middle of things to be able to see them clearly.
Re: Operation Cool It Guys Until I'm Back in Crawford.
Sure. ethnic cleansing works great, at least for awhile. So did bribing the sunnis to lie low for awhile, which pre-dated the surge, as you know. And now you have this glorious kleptocracy with an impending civil war, at such a low cost too.. That was fun. Which deserving brown-skinned country should we democratize next?
Um, haven't you been watching the news?
From beyond the Presidency, Bush's plans for Iran have been coming to the fore. He got Congress to spend 10s of millions to destabilize this country.
I wonder how much foreigners should spend to destabilize America? They apparently have a "destablization gap." Unless, of course, that explains George Walker Bush in the first place (thank you, Saudi Royal Family???)
If Mr. Iscol really thinks the pull-out "vindicates Bush's surge stragegy," I have a bridge I'd like to sell him that connects Manhattan to Brooklyn. The pull-out proves no such thing. Note that the martyr bombings have stepped up now that the pull-out is going according to schedule. Expect an all-out civil war now. The Sunnis and Shias are mortal enemies -- literally.
There's going to be a tough road ahead. Our military has pulled out of the cities, troops are there. It will take time. We still have troops in the Koreas after 50 years. Think in terms of decades.
Zach, thanks again for your hard work, dedication, and passion. Your insight enhances understanding and sparks debate...which are both healthy for those who have "skin in the game" and for those who are passionate about the issues.
The above comments might seem overly critical but we know they represent a similar passion for the topic; all good for the complex debate-mosaic of Iraq. I would add that while the success of the surge might be debatable, the strategic impact of the US staying in the game and not leaving at a time when the easy thing to do was to pull out, the Iraqis were sent a strong message of commitment. No doubt the Sons of Iraq were watching this message on CNN and were forced to make their own commitment. This alone contributed as much to the reduction of violence as any additional boots on the deck. Just my opinion.
I do think that giving credit to Bush for this is a bit of a stretch, since, as the author states this was a policy that emerged from within the military to replace what wasn't working: brute force, with an emphasis on the brute. It is so refreshing, however, to hear this author relate that it was the tactics not the size of the force that made the difference. Both Republicans in office and Democratic candidates got caught up in the numbers debate.... It's too bad that Obama didn't recognize the fresh new wave of thinking in the military, because it was an Obama type thing: getting close to and understanding other peoples rather than the shoot first and ask questions later thing. But we can't expect him to get everything right and in the polarized USA of the time, there was no single idea emanating from the Bush admin that had any credibility. I'd give the credit for this to Petraeus and other soldiers on the street who got tired of a failed policy and percolated this one up to an administration that was deeply mired in failure and therefore open to change even if it meant doing something wise for once.
It's only sad that we had to attack the wrong country for the wrong reason, lose many precious American soldiers (and kill how many foes unnecessarily), completely jangle Iraq by sticking a big boot in it, and squander all of the post 9-11 good will of the world in so many ways just to discover that, hey, that ain't workin'.
I for one would argue that while the change in strategy might have improved the situation in various ways; the knowledge and experience to predict the situation developing as it did in the aftermath of the invasion was already there. Any military historian and/or analyst worthy of the title could have studied the methods used by the British Empire and their effect; both the good and the bad. Invasion, occupation, and reformation or domination of another country is nothing new and for some it was pretty much understood from the start that the methods favoured by the Bush administration back in 2004 were counter-productive to say the least. Of course anyone who tried to make this point would be targeted as an "Enemy of the Administration" and thus either be ignored, ridiculed or slandered; General Shinseki among others.
Now I presume that Sun Tzu's The Art of War is mandatory at West Point (or maybe it isn't, I don't know), or at least that they study and debate other military authors like Clausewitz's On War, or even former British General Rupert Smith's book The Utility of Force. Or failing that at least talk to European and NATO officers that have been involved in various conflicts and situation up through the last decades; Sarajevo, Ireland, Kosovo to name but three fairly know ones. There are men, and women, that have experience in both fighting against insurgents or themselves being in active opposition to what today is fallen satellite sates of the USSR.
The Bush administration, however, seem to have completely closed their ears and minds to any advice or experience available and stuck to their own misguided path; and then when after four years of occupation they change tactics or create a "surge" they are applauded for doing something that they should have done in a far bigger and better planed way from the very beginning.
Personally I am not so much opposed to war (at least not the war to remove the Saddam regime, or the Taliban); but I really hate to see things done this incompetently. As they say; if something is worth doing, it is worth doing well.
Yes, mission accomplished. Absolutely. But by mission accomplished, of course, I mean the mission of looting America of roughly $1 TRILLION dollars so that all of Bush and Cheney's convervative friends in the defense industry, such as all Cheney's old pals at Halliburton, could get wildly rich.
As for Iraq, what other mission has been accomplished? Finding the WMD's, the "smoking gun", that we were promised would be found? It was only after it became apparent to the world that America had been lied into a war that they began trying to push the "democratization of the Middle East" angle. And how did that go for Bush exactly? While he was in office the Palestinians elected a notorious terrorist organization into power and Iran grew stronger and more emboldened.
Nothing has been accomplished in Iraq save the fleecing of Americans. And for what? Once American troops leave Iraq the terrorists are going to return to wreak havoc on the Iraqi people. Which will then embolden the neo-cons who got us into this quagmire to declare that America must once again rush in to save non-Americans, all the while spending whatever it takes to get the job done. What Republicans, and unfortunately some Dems, don't seem to understand is that we have fallen right into Osama bin Laden's trap. Al qaeda knows they can never beat us militarily, so they decided long ago to try and bankrupt America. And guess what, it's working like a charm.
Get our troops out of harms way and let the Iraqis deal with the terrorists among them by themselves. Stop spending American tax dollars to rebuild other countries because in case you haven't noticed, WE'RE BROKE!!!
While the author brings up many good things about Obama, one cannot excuse the folly that was the Iraq war.
The surge was a change in an otherwise total failure of a strategy. But the war as a whole... compare it to "blowing your arm off, but making sure the stitches closing the wound were well done."
In the end we'll be paying for this one for generations...
I think those of you who keep posting about how the invasion of Iraq was unjustified, or that we should not have invaded Iraq in the first place, are perhaps missing the author's point.
I think what he is suggesting is that Democracy has to come from within, that a western power cannot sweep into a Middle Eastern country, or any country for that matter, and impose their systems of government on the population with any real success.
He gives some examples of how that did not work in Iraq, and why Obama is right to take a different approach toward Iran.
I do not think he is in anyway making the arguement that the US invasion of Iraq was a good idea in the first place. He is making a point that I feel most reasonable people should find valid, that the U.S. playing a heavy hand in Iraq's internal affairs increased the violence in that country and put the people and U.S. troops at greater risk.
However, when America began to work with the local authorities and engage the people, the violence went down and things began to stabilze. If you look at the timeline, I would say that's hard to dispute.
No amount of crowing about the so-called surge will camouflage this disaster called the Iraq war. In addition to the thousands killed and maimed, the unnecessary invasion of Iraq is a foreign policy disaster. It opened new territory for jihadists and provided wider hegemony for Iran, both of which we will be stuck with for years and probably decades to come.
Mission Accomplished? Yes. Last week bidding was opened to western petroleum companies for Iraqi oil leases. This was the Bush/Cheney goal all along with neocon approval because military intervention was the method to accomplish it.
Iraqi stability? No political agreement on how to distribute the oil money among Shias, Sunnis and Kurds. There is yet ethnic cleansing with little cooperation as to how to govern differing faction within the country. No one is yet sure just what part Iran will play in the coming months given what is going on in their own country except it likely won't be to the liking of the west. Bottom line: Iraq is still one huge question mark.
Appeasement? Explain it to the survivors of over 4,000 American war dead and tens of thousands of Iraqi civilian deaths. Bush/Cheney left us this intractable situation where there are no clear solutions. In a word, a mess; no, in two words: greedy mess. Thank you.
While the point Zach makes is clear, he seems to
confuse the term "appeasement" with compromise and nuanced understanding of a complex culture-- qualities George W. Bush or Donald Rumsfeld never had the aptitude for even prior to their self-proclaimed "crusade" on "terrorism".
Appeasement and compromise are not interchangeable.
The true heroes of the Iraqi incursion are Generals Petraeus and Odierno who were not only responsible for the "surge", and the subsequent "Iraqi Awakening", but also timely beneficiaries of a lethal and accurate new technology and tack in fighting the insurgency.
Thank you.
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