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Worse Than Enron?

by Nomi Prins Info

Nomi Prins
 
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BS Top - Prins Banks SEC Michael Nagle / Getty Images Wall Street’s big banks are playing dangerous new accounting games—and this time taxpayers are on the hook for hundreds of billions. Nomi Prins uncovers a scandal in the making.

Enron was the financial scandal that kicked off the decade: a giant energy trading company that appeared to be doing brilliantly—until we finally noticed that it wasn’t. It’s largely been forgotten given the wreckage that followed, and that’s too bad: we may be repeating those mistakes, on a far larger scale.

Specifically, as the largest Wall Street banks return to profitability—in some cases, breaking records—they say everything is rosy. They’re lining up to pay back their TARP money and asking Washington to back off. But why are they doing so well? Remember that Enron got away with their illegalities so long because their financials were so complicated that not even the analysts paid to monitor the Houston-based trading giant could cogently explain how they were making so much money.

The nation’s biggest banks, plumped up on government capital and risk-infused trading profits, have been moving stuff around their balance sheets like a multi-billion dollar musical chairs game.

After two weeks sifting through over one thousand pages of SEC filings for the largest banks, I have the same concerns. While Washington ponders what to do, or not do, about reforming Wall Street, the nation’s biggest banks, plumped up on government capital and risk-infused trading profits, have been moving stuff around their balance sheets like a multi-billion dollar musical chairs game.

I was trying to answer the simple question that you'd think regulators should want to know: how much of each bank’s revenue is derived from trading (taking risk) vs. other businesses? And how can you compare it across the industry—so you can contain all that systemic risk? Only, there's no uniformity across books. And, given the complexity of these mega-merged firms, those questions aren’t easy to answer.

Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, for example, altered their year-end reporting dates, orphaning the month of December, thus making comparison to past quarterly statements more difficult. In the cases of Bank of America, Citigroup and Wells Fargo, the preferred tactic is re-classification and opaqueness. These moves make it virtually impossible to get an accurate, or consistent picture of banks ‘real money’ (from commercial or customer services) vs. their ‘play money’ (used for trading purposes, and most risky to the overall financial system, particularly since much of the required trading capital was federally subsidized).

Trading profitability, albeit inconsistent and volatile, is the quickest way back to the illusion of financial health, as these banks continue to take hits from their consumer-oriented businesses. But, appearance doesn’t equal stability, or necessarily, reality. Here’s how BofA, Citi and Wells Fargo play the game:

Bank of America: The firm reclassified its filing categories upon acquiring Merrill Lynch, but it doesn't break down the trading vs. investment banking revenues of Merrill. This either means the firm doesn’t truly know what's going on inside its new problem child, or doesn’t want to tell. (No wonder no one’s jumping for the upcoming CEO vacancy.) That said, despite the obvious information clouding, new acquisitions generally don’t have their activities broken out, which makes it a lot harder for regulators, shareholders, or we, taxpaying subsidizers, to know whether the merger was a success or not.

According to Scott Silvestri, Bank of America’s spokesman, “On our second quarter's earnings release, there was a note explaining why we changed reporting structure. But, with every quarter that passes, it's harder to unscramble the egg. It's been a merged entity since January 1, 2009.”

He added that “we have an earnings supplement. Every quarter, we put out a standalone Merrill 10-Q that shows its profitability.” True, but what’s the point of issuing a separate Merrill report, without delineating Merrill’s contribution in its main books so that you can clearly see how specific parts of Merrill’s business impact similar ones in the merged entity? Furthermore, we can’t even figure this out ourselves—the Merrill results in the 10-Q don’t map directly to those of BofA’s books. This all just creates more complexities for a bank that still floats on $63.1 billion in various government subsidies.

When it wants to, it appears that BofA can merge and then break out Merrill’s numbers. Under the "Global Wealth & Investment Management ” classification, we discover that Merrill contributed three-quarters of the $12 billion BofA took in over the first nine months of 2009. According to Silvestri, “The numbers of the old Merrill are there because the brand name was kept, vestiges of the old Merrill Lynch exist.”

Talk about semantics. Why not also break out the area where revenues tripled and trading account profits jumped significantly (from a $6 billion loss in 2008 to an almost $14 billion gain in 2009)? Something is clearly going on there: the best measure of trading risk, VaR (“value at risk” or a firm’s daily trading variation) doubled between 2008 and 2009. If I was the CEO, I’d want to see this critical comparison on my merged company filing.

Elsewhere, the sum of Bank of America’s quarterly figures doesn’t quite add up to the nine months totals. (A few hundred million of discrepancies between friends.) Another item "all other" is off by nearly a quarter of a billion dollars. And so on. The firm also declared, that it “may periodically reclassify business segment results based on modifications to its management reporting methodologies and changes in organizational alignment." In other words, whenever it feels like it. Comforting, isn’t it?

Citigroup: Another balance-sheet renovation, this time because of a sale (Smith Barney, which it offloaded to Morgan Stanley) rather than a purchase, and another trading miracle. Citigroup’s main trading arm, housed in what it calls the Institutional Clients Group (ICG), made $31.5 billion in net revenue for 2009, compared with a $7.8 billion loss in 2008. Its average daily value at risk jumped too, though “only” by 15 percent or so.

That’s a huge and extremely fast trading rebound for the main recipient of government subsidies (at $373.7 billion). But, there is no overall breakdown present in the summaries of Citigroup’s latest filings. And the sum of the trading totals doesn’t equal the parts, because the firm also noted that certain numbers deemed an “integral part of profitability” weren’t included in those computations, without giving any apparent reason. (After adding the missing number, it still didn’t add up.)

Again, it’s “just” a couple billion of discrepancies, but with books this massive at banks this big and risky, accuracy matters. Plus, such nuances make it extremely difficult to understand its books for regulators or the public.

Citigroup's Danielle Romero-Apsilos said that they periodically change reporting. "ICG existed, but after Smith Barney's joint venture with Morgan Stanley, we moved the private bank into the securities and banking reporting line in the ICG."

That describes the chain of events, but doesn’t get closer to determining trading related revenue. Romero-Apsilos said, “We don’t break up the financials specifically for those businesses. Over the years, we may have broken out different things."

Wells Fargo: Yet more innovative accounting maneuvers. For example, the innocuous sounding category, “wholesale banking” which provides traditional lending, finance and asset management services, was expanded (following the Wachovia acquisition that completed on December 31, 2008) to include more speculative activities like fixed-income and equity trading. But, those activities aren’t broken down in the firm’s SEC filing, making it difficult to determine which portion comes from trading vs. commercial or investment banking.

Wells Fargo spokesperson, Mary Eshet (who still has a Wachovia email address) confirmed there is no separate Wachovia 10-Q (like there is for Merrill Lynch), but that it wasn't the case that "Wells Fargo broke out trading related revenue previously either."

In fact, Wells just provides totals for their four main business segments, each of which increased sharply. Community banking rose from $33 billion in 2008 to an annualized $59 billion in 2009. Wholesale banking shot up from $8.2 billion in 2008 to $20 billion in annualized 2009. And, wealth, brokerage and retirement quadrupled from $2.7 billion in 2008 to $11.6 annualized for 2009. (The fourth segment is called ‘other.’) Yet, all these rosy numbers come with no specific breakdowns for their various trading business areas.

Separately, Wells states in its filing that its management accounting process is “dynamic” and, not “necessarily comparable with similar information for other financial services companies.” This statement should give lawmakers pause: if banks are so complex as to constantly fluctuate their own reporting, deciphering figures just before a crisis won’t exactly be a walk in the park.

With taxpayers now on the hook, we need an objective, consistent evaluation of bank balance sheets complete with probing questions about trading and speculative revenues, allowing for comparisons across the banking industry. This lack of transparency leaves room to misrepresent risk and trading revenue.

The long-term solution is bringing back Glass-Steagall. Being big doesn’t just risk bringing down a financial system—it means you can also more easily hide things. Remember the lesson from the Enron saga: when things look too good to be true, they usually are.

Nomi Prins is author of It Takes a Pillage: Behind the Bonuses, Bailouts, and Backroom Deals from Washington to Wall Street (Wiley, September, 2009). Before becoming a journalist, she worked on Wall Street as a managing director at Goldman Sachs, and running the international analytics group at Bear Stearns in London.

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December 1, 2009 | 12:17am
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Comments ()

Genni2002

What a handy little quote to keep around: "...accounting process is "dynamic" and, not "necessarily comparable with similar information for other financial services companies." Con-men BS artists. No different than the corner loan shark. Second thought, access to our lawmakers makes them a lot different.

Thanks for the excellent explanation of how things get to work for the rich in our country.

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1:34 am, Dec 1, 2009

crypto

When Enron crashed I wrote an article then and sent it to all the news network CEOs and to over half of congress. Those that did acknnowledge the article simply said that Enron was just a badly managed company and the nation had nothing to worry about. In September of this year I sent annother "warning" to congress. this letter simply put is a prediction of the crash of the first quarter of 2010. By the end of the 1st quarter, possibly April or early may, this economy will go into a tailspin that will make this last one look puny. It is beyond stopping now. I know things can be slightly corrected. But not if those that have the power refuse to listen. Everybody needs to be financially careful with their funds, don't go out on any limbs, and don't buy things you don't need. Now you may say what does this jerk know??? So I say to you just be careful and If I'm wrong you're money ahead. If I'm right you're far ahead of those that wouldn't listen.

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8:37 am, Dec 1, 2009

JohnnyAces

What is the basis of your second crash theory and where do you come up with 1Q10? Right now so much money is being printed it's hard for anything to go down in value. In my thinking we may have an issue once the stimulus ends, but not likely before then and not to the extent that you describe. And let's not forget that Congress will almost certainly get approval for continuing the printing presses should it be warranted. This may not be the right thing to do for long term economic health, but it would certainly help avoid another collapse. Are you basing this on insolvencies of our banking system?

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12:59 pm, Dec 1, 2009

RJB-Boston

Interesting and troubling, however I don't see an Enron in the making, this is not off -balance sheet skulduggery.

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8:07 am, Dec 1, 2009

alloypony

In 1983 the republican's changed the law, allowing the " The Speculation of Revenue " The WSJ said " you can expect nether ethics or Integrity if this bill becomes law " / Republican gave America this horror , self severing get rich LAW !

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8:41 am, Dec 1, 2009

JohnnyAces

No need to point fingers at specific parties. There's plenty of blame to go around. Let's not forget the enabling of Fannie and Freddie from the Democrats to provide loans for anyone and everyone. The Republicans loosened regulations and lending requirements. This is not a specific party issue, but more of a who's in bed with whom. We elect these officials and they take marching orders from big corporations and special interest groups. That's where our anger should be focused. Let's all get on the same team so we can push real reform.

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1:14 pm, Dec 1, 2009

Johnnyappleseed

The congress wasn't controlled by Republicans in 1983....sorry.

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8:57 am, Dec 1, 2009

Cashmoney

In 1983, Reagan in WH, Reps running the Senate, Dems in control of the House.

You think it was Ted Kennedy who was calling the shots?

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9:57 am, Dec 1, 2009

Johnnyappleseed

Who's doing the banks projections....the CBO????

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8:58 am, Dec 1, 2009

gardengirl


really great article......thank you.

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9:00 am, Dec 1, 2009

bwshook

Once again, we're waiting for the other shoe to fall--or another BIG string of banks and financial institutions. And I tend to agree with those of you who say "we ain't seen nuthin' yet." All the financials are doing a fast dance so we can't see their moves, and the government lacks the control they need to hold them accountable.

The longer the dance goes on, the more convinced I am that 2010 will NOT be a very happy new year.

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9:47 am, Dec 1, 2009

sagaderisa

Thank you! I've been poring over these banks' financials for the past week and a half, and I thought I was going CRAZY!!! I was looking specifically at executive compensation, and I realized that 1) they have significantly changed the way they tabulate that over the years, 2) banks change the terminology (i.e. non-equity incentive plan vs. bonus) or what each line item represents (one year all other compensation will be various types of retirement contributions, the next year it will include home security systems/guards and corporate jet usage), and 3) there is no consistency between banks

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10:42 am, Dec 1, 2009

dooreen

Same thing happened to me when i was studying, starting at business policy and strategy, it looked like the whole thing was going to crash in 2007, and it went on in auditing, accounting theory, nothing was going by the book.

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12:02 pm, Dec 1, 2009

sagaderisa

*oops* there is no consistency between banks on what each term represents, and 4) over the years, their compensation structure has become more and more diversified (i.e. they think of more and more ways to pay themselves off).
The Cuomo report did a great job of comparing revenues and profits to compensation structure. But quite frankly, in terms of revenue and trying to establish how risky a given stock is for investors, it's ridiculously hard to decipher.
Thank you again for this insightful article and useful resource on banks' SEC filings.

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10:45 am, Dec 1, 2009

DakLak

We should make Nomi Prins the banking regulator, she would sort them out.

The problem is, no one really wants to know what is really going on.

All the wondrous things are easily explained. They are 'miracles'. The Roman Catholic Church uses this word for the inexplicable, so should Wall Street as they are doing 'Gods Work'.

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11:35 am, Dec 1, 2009

aquamarine

Naomi, I really appreciate your writing this. I did not slog through it all, but it gives examples to my feeling that things are more serious than what the government says.

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12:37 pm, Dec 1, 2009

sophia5

Here we go again ??? . . . followed by

WE need to bail them out, because they're

. . . " TOO BIG TO FAIL " . . . Again, etc., etc., etc . . .

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1:13 pm, Dec 1, 2009

crypto

Johnnyaces: The basis for the prediction is the retail market. Right now the retailers are giving a "good" estimate of the holiday profits. This is fluff. The only markets that are moving are those who have devalued their product. When we go into that 1st quarter the real truth will come out. Those who normally lead the economic sales for special times of the year, are not doing well at all. If that continues there is little doubt that a decline is coming. Most shoppers are being frugal this time. And I believe it will reflect markets to come. Closures are "fense sitting" now. Any way I hope I'm wrong. But I'm not taking any chances.

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1:52 pm, Dec 1, 2009

JohnnyAces

Crypto, we are not going into a tailspin because of poor retail sales even if the numbers are aweful. I promise you that. We already know that the consumer is mostly tapped out. That's the result of a recession not the cause of another one in the future. The bigger worries are things like commerical real estate and continued home foreclosures. What happens when the commercial loans reset while property values are significantly lower and below the original loan amount? That could be scary. Maybe we need to worry about the Chinese refusing to buy more treasuries because of the devalued US dollar and rates go through the roof. That would be a nightmare. But have no worries about retail sales. Poor numbers are already baked in to the markets. We have much bigger issues to keep an eye on.

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2:56 pm, Dec 1, 2009

atmananda

Thank you Nomi. This is important journalism. Please keep it up.

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2:00 pm, Dec 1, 2009

Austerlitz

Good article. The problem is that the banks are now allowed to both trade and bank. Until those functions are separated, they will find a way to obfuscate and confuse the public and the government as to the details of their daily dealings. Banks occupy two positions now. Each has a fiduciary relationship with their depositors (for a fee, the bank looks after money entrusted to them, and return it when duly requested). Each also trades, and trading is only about making a profit for the bank or investors who hire the bank to do so. The temptation to use general banking funds to make more profits trading will always be irresistible, even if entirely forbidden. The game will eternally be about how to hide that activity from regulators or fudge whatever rules attempt to monitor required reserves for depositors of for losses. As we now know, there is much about the economy that can never be known or predicted.

Until trading companies are forbidden to bank and banking companies are forbidden to trade, the risk to our banking system will be innate and enormous. Separating those activities is the solution, but I'm afraid that only a catastrophe of the order of total financial collapse can overcome the entrenched positions now occupied by Big Money. Without this reform, which may only be accomplished through a much wiser electorate than we now enjoy, we peons are along for the ride, for better or worse.

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5:04 pm, Dec 1, 2009
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