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2008
10
15
OCTOBER 2008
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Cheats From October 15, 2008   Calendar
Be Afraid
CS - Stocks Plunge on Weak Retail, Oil

The biggest drop in retail sales in three years and continuing doubts about the bank bailout resulted in a drubbing on Wall Street, with the Dow plunging 733.08 to 8,577.91, and the S&P dropping nine percent. Exxon Mobil and Chevron were big losers with eight percent drops as crude fell below $75 a barrel for the first time in a year; Morgan Stanley shed 15 percent; and Wal-Mart sagged six percent on news that chain store purchases declined 1.2 percent in September. "A big chunk of our economy is in recession right now," Tom Werth, senior investment officer at Chemung Canal Trust Co., told Bloomberg. "There's fear the Christmas season is going to be miserable."

Posted at 4:15 PM, Oct 15, 2008
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Smart
CS - Saving the GOP’s Sinking Ship

Perhaps it’s a symptom of encroaching desperation that the conservative press has begun fingering traitors. Ross Douthat has a post addressed to those conservatives—inlcuding the crowd over at the National Review—who “regard every right-of-center writer … who's publicly hurled brickbats at the McCain campaign as a quisling and a coward, a stooge for liberalism and a rat fleeing a fast-sinking ship.” If he were them, Douthat says, “I’d be devoting a little less time to ritual denunciations of heretics and RINOs, and at least a little more time to figuring out how to build the sort of ship that will make the rats of the DC/NY corridor want to scramble back on board, however much it makes you sick to have them back.”

Posted at 2:06 PM, Oct 15, 2008
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Essential
CS - McCain

With less than a month until Election Day, it’s now or never for John McCain. Tonight’s debate, writes John Dickerson at Slate, “is McCain's last big chance to reach a wide national audience without the media filter.” McCain certainly has a lot to juggle: He needs to attack Obama without seeming like a bully while simultaneously firming up his own positions on the economy. “For McCain,” Dickerson writes, “Wednesday's debate comes with a degree of difficulty perhaps beyond the capacity of human achievement.”

Posted at 2:07 PM, Oct 15, 2008
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Culprits

Conde Nast Portfolio's Jesse Eisinger, who predicted investment banking's requiem nearly a year ago, offers an inside account of how a small team at J.P. Morgan created a financial instrument that was supposed to reduce risk but wound up spreading panic. Widely regarded as escaping the carnage, J.P. Morgan recently swallowed up Bear Stearns and WaMu. But Eisinger shows how a decade ago it pioneered and institutionalized the credit derivatives that ultimately exposed firms across the globe to potential default. "In many ways," says one risk consultant, "J.P. Morgan created Frankenstein's monster."

Posted at 8:48 AM, Oct 15, 2008
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Be Afraid
CS - How to Beat Airport Security

Long security lines at the airport are supposed to be for safety. But in the new Atlantic, Jeffrey Goldberg says they “are almost entirely for show—security theater is the term of art.” In a hilarious piece, Goldberg exposes our airports’ terrifying security gap. Goldberg’s inventory of smuggled items includes pocketknives, matches, cigarette lighters, rope, nail clippers, toothpaste, bottled water, box cutters, and a Beerbelly. In an attempt to get caught, Goldberg enters security with a fake boarding pass, no ID, and an Osama Bin Laden T-Shirt. “All right, you can go,” the TSA guard tells him. “But let this be a lesson for you.”

Posted at 1:44 PM, Oct 15, 2008
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Scoop
CS - Madonna Guy 081015

A-Rod, here's your opening. The U.K.'s Sun tabloid reports that Madonna and Guy Ritchie announced their separation, as they "can't bear to live with the pretense any longer." Says a source: "Madonna was dithering at first about whether a separation would be best or whether to go ahead with the divorce. She has now agreed with Guy that a divorce is the best thing to do." Among the couple's many issues: Madonna has soured on Guy's London life of pubbing and hunting; Ritchie feels Madonna puts her career ahead of his; and Ritchie didn't share Madonna's enthusiasm for adopting another child.

Posted at 7:09 AM, Oct 15, 2008
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Definitive

Election Day is still nearly a month away, but Barack Obama is off to a running start. The indispensable Nate Silver looks at polling numbers of early voting in five swing states and finds that Obama leads by an average of 23 points. Early voters broke for Bush in 2000 and 2004, and while “early voters tend to be your stauncher partisans rather than your uncommitted voters,” the numbers “imply that Obama is quite likely to turn out his base in large numbers.”

Posted at 2:04 PM, Oct 15, 2008
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Seen This
CS - Colin Powell 081015

Shock photo in The Daily Telegraph: Colin Powell, dressed in his trademark power suit, losing himself on the dance floor. His index fingers are pointed to the sky, and his mouth is ajar as if prompted by a dentist to open wide. To what do we owe this treat? The occasion was Africa Rising, a benefit in which Powell was joined by Christina Aguilera, Seal, and the Nigerian musician Olu Maintain. After giving a speech earlier in the evening, Powell took the stage, and according to the Telegraph’s account, “seemed at ease as he treated the crowds to moves from the popular African dance Yahoozee.” Powell’s previous public dancing had been confined to the diplomatic shuffle.

Posted at 7:19 AM, Oct 15, 2008
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Chilling

Chilling read from The Washington Times about the lengths Maryland is going to contain sex offenders on Halloween. The state is requiring that its 1,200 violent and child-sex offenders hang a sign with an orange pumpkin reading “No candy at this residence” on their doors. This is in addition to a law that already prohibits sex offenders from leaving their homes on the holiday. “Halloween provides a rare opportunity for you to demonstrate to your neighbors that you are making a sincere effort to change the direction of your life,” a letter accompanying the signs states. Or, if you’ve already made said effort, to remind them that you were, you know, a sex offender.

Posted at 2:59 PM, Oct 15, 2008
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Theories
CS - Pirates of the Financial Meltdown

New theory about our economic turmoil: it was caused by pirates. You heard right. A British lecturer argues in a paper that modern corporations got their start on pirate ships during the "golden age of buccaneering": "Pirates elected their captain, voted on major decisions, and distributed their booty in roughly equal shares, and there is something in the idea that a pirate ship is the equivalent of a modern corporation." He continues, “These predatory voyages are the roots of modern venture capitalism, with these modern multi-national corporations out to get all they can get. That's the sort privateering that led to the Credit Crunch." The argument, Hayes admits, leads to troubling conclusions about modern capitalism. But there you go.

Posted at 2:02 PM, Oct 15, 2008
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Tivo Alert

Comedy Central's fake-news revue keeps on expanding. The latest addition is Chocolate News, starring the comedian David Alan Grier. The sketch-comedy show appears to be more Colbert than Stewart, with the Grier playing "a pompous, potty-mouthed windbag who calls his program 'the only source for pure, uncircumcised realness from an Afrocentric perspective.'" The show hopes to take advantage of the recent boom in political sketch comedy, as well as recapture some of the spirit of Dave Chappelle, who left Comedy Central in 2005.

Posted at 7:29 AM, Oct 15, 2008
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Hubris
CS - John Travolta’s French Disaster Movie

Art is supposed to be the universal language, but that language has its limit. The limit is apparently John Travolta. Travolta's upcoming flick, From Paris with Love, was supposed to film a scene in the Les Bosquets estate, where the Paris riots began three years ago, in order to show solidarity with the local people. It didn’t quite work out that way. Ten stunt cars were destroyed by fire. Local residents originally welcomed the project, but were upset by paltry pay and compensation. The production company said filming will be "suspended until tempers cool down," but officials expect it to be abandoned for good.

Posted at 7:36 AM, Oct 15, 2008
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Novel

Matthew Lynn at Bloomberg has some bad news for new MBAs looking to make it big: Bankers are the new civil servants. The high-risk-high-reward days and their subsequent windfalls are over. "When you are working for a publicly owned utility, with no risk of bankruptcy," Lynn writes, "you can't expect to make anything more than a normal middle-class salary." Bankers can kiss bonuses goodbye and may have to exchange their posh corporate headquarters for office parks in (gasp!) "less fashionable parts of town." Lynn’s conclusion: "[T]he days of swaggering around the place as masters of the universe are over."

Posted at 7:16 AM, Oct 15, 2008
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Juicy

If John McCain is to follow through with his promise to mention Bill Ayers during tonight’s debate, he ought to read The Journal’s editorial page first. Thomas Frank says that he, unlike Obama, really is pals with the former terrorist, and that the Ayers he knows “ought to be an honorary Eagle Scout.” Frank says Ayers (whom he met, like Obama, through the world of lefty fundraising) is generous to a fault, exceedingly humble, and has inspired ideologically-opposite colleagues to leap to his defense. In the last week the McCain campaign has chosen to smear a man “who cannot or will not defend himself. … This is their vilest hour.”

Posted at 7:14 AM, Oct 15, 2008
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Departures
CS - Top Producer Ankles HBO

HBO continued its behind-the-scenes makeover yesterday, when producer Colin Callendar, a 20-year veteran who helped to guide HBO through its golden age, left the network. Callendar was, according to the Los Angeles Times, "responsible for HBO's ambitious, sophisticated and hugely expensive original movies," including miniseries like Angels in America and John Adams. But the large price tags of his productions—his upcoming WWII drama, The Pacific, cost over $200 million— had corporate executives worried about recouping their money in foreign sales and DVDs. Callendar plans to form his own company in 2009.

Posted at 7:21 AM, Oct 15, 2008
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Breaking

Former First Lady Nancy Reagan has been hospitalized with a broken pelvis. The 87-year-old Reagan is thought to have fractured her pelvis when she fell at her home last week. Fortunately, she is said to be in good spirits and surgery will not be required.

Posted at 12:55 PM, Oct 15, 2008
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Outrageous

Blockbuster in The Washington Post: The paper reports today that the Bush administration secretly issued a pair of memos in 2003 and 2004 authorizing the CIA's use of waterboarding and other controversial interrogation techniques. The memos were requested by the CIA, "whose repeated requests for a paper trail reflected growing worries within the CIA that the administration might later distance itself from key decisions about the handling of captured al-Qaeda leaders." While details of meetings between administration officials have been reported, the documents represent the earliest tangible evidence of the Bush administration's consent for the harsh interrogations.

Posted at 7:13 AM, Oct 15, 2008
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Breaking

Barack Obama is poised to takeover the White House, the Democrats might get 60 seats in the Senate, some new memos have surfaced revealing the Bush administration’s approval of CIA waterboarding...Is it possible the heat’s getting to Dick Cheney? Doctors discovered a recurrence of Cheney’s abnormal heart rhythm today and he will “undergo an outpatient procedure to restore his normal rhythm,” according to CNN. The Vice President was forced to cancel an appearance at a campaign event for Congressman Marty Ozinga, which, given the Cheney brand, was probably a good thing for Ozinga.

Posted at 11:39 AM, Oct 15, 2008
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Essential
CS 1 - Obama 081015

Hardly a day passes without another survey favoring Barack Obama, but The New York Times' latest poll is noteworthy for two reasons. First, it shows Obama with his biggest lead yet—a whopping 14 points. Second, it suggests that McCain's negative attacks have backfired, with six in ten voters saying McCain spends more time attacking Obama than explaining his positions; "voters who said that their views of Mr. McCain had changed were three times more likely to say that they had worsened than to say they had improved." Those numbers have to give McCain second thoughts about his pledge to bring up Bill Ayers at tonight's debate.

Posted at 7:43 AM, Oct 15, 2008
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Be Prepared

Conservative panic alert! Mona Charen fires off some words of warning at the National Review before, we suspect, she disappears into a bunker in order to survive the coming apocalypse. "Liberal reforms," Mona moans, "are never undone." If the Democrats win "a super-majority"—a filibuster-proof 60 seats—"they can make the District of Columbia the 51st state with two new senators" and reinstitute the Fairness Doctrine, which—the horror!—"required radio stations to provide equal time to all political viewpoints." The hypothetical end of conservative talk radio is, apparently, the biggest disaster the nation faces, but then can you blame Mona? It will be awfully quiet in the bunker without Rush to listen to.

Posted at 7:18 AM, Oct 15, 2008
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2008
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15
OCTOBER 2008
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Cheats From October 15, 2008   Calendar