Cheat Sheet

The Best In Brief

2009
11
23
NOVEMBER 2009
S
M
T
W
T
F
S
Power Read

Latest Polls Signal Obama Win

US map

Jinx-fearing Democrats won’t heave a sigh of relief, but the newest batch of national polls does show their man with about a seven-point lead over McCain. Nate Silver notes, however, that “candidates with large leads in the polls have had some tendency to underperform marginally on election day, and so projects an Obama win of 6.0 points.” His model shows Obama winning in Iowa, New Mexico, and Pennsylvania, among other battlegrounds. McCain’s only chance of a victory, according to Silver? The Bradley Effect: “McCain’s chances of victory are estimated at 1.9 percent, their lowest total of the year.”

Posted at 9:30 PM, Nov 3, 2008
Save it
  |  
Email
  |  
Facebook
  |  
Twitter
  |  
Digg
  |     |  
print
  |  
Cheat Sheet Worthy?
Thumb Up
(%)  |  
Thumb Down
(%)    
Comments ()
Leave a Comment
Leave a comment

Thank you.
As a first time user, your comment has been submitted for review. It can take anywhere from a few hours to a day or two for your comment to be reviewed, depending on the time of week and the volume of comments we receive.

View Comments
Leave a comment

Please log in to leave comments.

View Full Cheat Sheet