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Will a relative handful of Ohio door knocks decide the election? Likely voters in one of the most crucial swing states are split 49–49 for President Barack Obama and opponent Mitt Romney, according to a new poll conducted by The Cincinnati Enquirer and the Ohio Newspaper Organization. At The New York Times, however, polling analysis whiz Nate Silver says that the averages tilt toward Obama, and that the state is not a "toss-up." Pollsters said that ground game—the field operations in which the Obama campaign excels—may decide who takes the Buckeye State.