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Robo Calls

Donald Trump Is on the Phone

Mitt’s fan is calling Michigan voters.

Donald Trump is at it again. Whether or not Mitt Romney wants his help, the real-estate mogul continues to do his part to campaign for his favorite presidential candidate. In an effort to round up support ahead of Michigan’s upcoming primary, Trump is lending his voice to a statewide automated phone call that denounces Rick Santorum’s claims of being a political outsider and boasts Romney as a hardworking, good man. Trump has also recorded a radio ad on behalf of Romney that will air in Michigan. 

Read it at Wall Street Journal

Latest Updates

Newt, The Movie

Gingrich's Newest Ad Is 30 Minutes

He talks and talks and talks about energy.

Forget about your short attention span because Newt Gingrich would like to talk to you about an exciting new opportunity: energy! "It means you'll have more money in your pocket," says the presidential candidate to anyone who might still be listening 26 minutes and six seconds into his new video. Gingrich has latched onto gas prices as his new stump topic of choice, claiming as president he would bring down prices to $2 a gallon. The former House Speaker's new short film, clocking in at nearly 30 minutes, will air in its entirety in "key cities" leading up to March sixth's Super Tuesday primaries. 

Read it at Wall Street Journal

Big Ideas

Romney Unveiling New Tax Plan

Swears it won't benefit the 1 percent.

Mitt Romney gave a sneak peek at his new and supposedly improved tax proposal while campaigning in Arizona Wednesday. In a change from his original plan of maintaining the current top rate of 35 percent, Romney announced that he would now cap the top individual income tax at 28 percent. Top Romney economic adviser, Glenn Hubbard, explained that under the new plan all tax brackets would be cut based on taxpayer’s income to create a new set of tax brackets. Speaking to a crowded gymnasium at a Christian school in Chandler, Ariz., Romney insisted that his new plan was not intended to benefit the 1 percent. “In order to limit any impact on the deficit, because I do not want to add to the deficit, and also to make sure we continue to have progressivity in our code, I’m going to limit the deductions and exemptions particularly for high-income folks,” he said. Romney is expected to elaborate more on his plan at tonight’s debate in Mesa.

Read it at New York Times

A pro-Obama super PAC is out with a new advertisement focused on opponent Mitt Romney's opposition to the federal government's auto bailout.

Something’s Up

Santorum Denies He Was Ever Pro-Choice

Spokesmen insist he’s always been pro-life.

This week, the Huffington Post dug up an interview with Rick Santorum in a 1995 issue of Philadelphia magazine in which he admitted he “was basically pro-choice all my life, until I ran for Congress.” The site also found a statement by the presidential candidate during his 1990 House of Representatives campaign in which he said it was “very difficult to criminalize” abortion since “a large portion of society” views it as “right.” Now top Santorum aides are denying the former Pennyslvania senator’s supposedly pro-choice past. “Rick Santorum has always been pro-life,” insists his spokesman. “He ran as a pro-life candidate and got elected as a pro-life candidate. He was always a solid pro-life vote, wrote and passed pro-life legislation and consistently received the highest rankings from pro-life groups.” Another top adviser told The Washington Post that he spoke to Santorum about this himself and can confirm “he never held a pro-choice position.”

Read it at Huffington Post

Election Oracle

Should Gingrich and Paul Drop Out?

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Republican presidential candidate and former House speaker Newt Gingrich speaks at the 39th Conservative Political Action Committee in Washington, D.C., Feb. 10, 2012, MANDEL NGAN / AFP / Getty Images

The GOP race over the past two weeks has boiled down to two questions: “Can Mitt Romney seal the deal?” and “Can Rick Santorum mount a big enough surge to take Romney down?” Both queries come up for a referendum next week in Michigan. But in the mean time, both questions imply that there’s little room left for anyone else in the race, certainly not Newt Gingrich or Ron Paul, both of whom, according to the Election Oracle, have been pummeled in Web volume by the two frontrunners.

In a campaign that has come down to buzz rather than raw delegate counts, Gingrich and Paul are running a sizable deficit. Despite the February lull of debates and primaries—which ends tonight with a debate in Arizona hosted by CNN—both trailing candidates have fallen out of the conversation. Measured on Tuesday, Romney (with 39,001 mentions) and Santorum (36,317) had more than twice as much Web volume as Gingrich (14,904) and Santorum (12,285). The metric of volume matters: being talked about translates into campaign donations. Expendable money, in turn, amounts of ground organization, media buys, and, ultimately, votes.

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The Election Oracle tracks 40,000 news sites, blogs, message boards, Twitter feeds, and other social-media sources to analyze what millions of people are saying about the candidates—and determines whether the web buzz is positive or negative (see charts at right). That rating is weighted, along with the Real Clear Politics polling average and the latest InTrade market data, to calculate each candidate’s chances of winning the Republican nomination. (Methodology here.)

Both Romney and Santorum have urged Gingrich to drop out of the race, after his candidacy nearly collapsed when he lost Florida. Paul, meanwhile, has stayed steady and consistent, remaining popular with his enthusiastic band of libertarian followers, but gaining hardly any other traction. Neither man, however, has exuded confidence over the past month that a win is actually still possible. When asked if he was still expecting to win his home state of Georgia last week, Gingrich effectively shrugged his shoulders. “Look, given this kind of a year,” he said, “who knows?”

Anti-Abortion

Arizona Right to Life Endorses Santorum

Praises his values and voting record.

The Arizona Right to Life Political Action Committee, also known as AZRTL PAC (still a mouthful), has deemed Rick Santorum the most pro-life candidate of them all. Naturally the Santorum campaign is excited about this endorsement, and immediately sent out a press release announcing the big news. The pro-life organization’s president Michelle Clements explained the group’s choice in a statement in a statement. “There are few who are as articulate and passionate on life issues as Senator Santorum,” she said. “He not only voted the right way, he talks about the dignity and value of every human life whenever he has the opportunity, and he lives out those values in his own personal life. We are grateful for his leadership and proud to endorse him.”

Read it at Rick Santorum Campaign

Big Supporters

Obama Campaign Names Co-Chairs

Including Eva Longoria and Rahm Emanuel.

Obama for America, the president’s reelection campaign, has released a list of 35 co-chairs, supporters from all over the country who will act as surrogates and ambassadors for the campaign. On the list is former White House Chiefs of Staff Bill Daley and Rahm Emanuel, Caroline Kennedy, former senator from Wisconsin Russ Feingold, Human Rights Campaign president Joe Solmonese and actress Eva Longoria, among others. The diverse list aims to reach out to a variety of voter demographs such as progressives, gays and lesbians, and labor, as well as voters in key swing states. 

Read it at Politico

Deadlock

Michigan Primary a Dead Heat

Mitt gets two newspaper endorsements.

With one week to go before the crucial Michigan primary, Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum are deadlocked, according to a new NBC/Marist poll. Romney received two valuable endorsements Wednesday from Michigan newspapers. Acknowledging Romney’s family’s political history in the state, the editors of The Oakland Press insist that Romney deserves the votes of Michigan Republicans on his own merits and “unlike Newt Gingrich, Rick Santorum and Ron Paul—we believe moderation is a virtue, not a vice at this delicate juncture in our nation's history.” The Detroit News editors urge their state’s Republicans to “go to the polls Tuesday with two missions: Pick a presidential candidate capable of leading this nation to prosperity and stability and choose a nominee who will give the GOP a fighting chance of defeating President Barack Obama this fall."

Read it at MSNBC

Audacity of Mitt?

Can Careful Mitt Go Bold on Taxes?

His inevitability frayed to a thread and rattled by twin Santorum surges in Arizona and Michigan, Romney debuts a new tax plan Wednesday. Peter J. Boyer on the candidate’s desperate attempt at audacity.

Inevitability and electability having failed him, Mitt Romney has decided to try seeming bold.

Campaign Fundraising

Republican presidential candidate former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney speaks in Mayfield Heights, Ohio, Feb. 16, 2012, Gerald Herbert / AP Photo

Romney is expected Wednesday to begin the rollout of his new tax plan, a proposal to lower tax rates by broadening the base through the elimination of some deductions and loopholes. Romney’s plan, to be fleshed out at Wednesday night’s debate and more fully at a big Detroit speech on Friday, may not seem especially dramatic—it’s sort of Simpson-Bowles ultralite—but for the Romney campaign, hitherto defined by its caution and calculation, it approaches audacity.

When Romney and his team designed a 2012 presidential strategy, they contrived a set of policy positions they called “a plan for governing,” as distinct from “a plan for campaigning.” The approach seemed suited to a candidate who, though unlikely to arouse voters’ passion, hoped to excite their imagination—asking them to envision a general election in the fall with Barack Obama having to defend the economy against a successful private-sector manager with a calm, reasoned plan for turning the country around.

One of the problems with this approach is that it underscored Romney’s carefulness in a primary environment that rewarded passion and daring (“9-9-9!”). For a candidate with a serious deficit of political pheromones—the harder Romney tries to “connect” with a crowd, the more stiffly antic he becomes—the relative timidity of his policy prescriptions suggested that a sense of entitlement, rather than vision, animated his candidacy.

Worse, Romney’s competitors all had ideas, however hare-brained they might at times have seemed, that clearly were designed for campaigning. Herman Cain had 9-9-9, and Rick Perry had the elimination of whole federal agencies, and each spent time atop the Republican heap. Newt Gingrich has churned out bold ideas as fast as he can pronounce them, his latest, unless it has already been supplanted, being a plan to bring gasoline prices down to $2.50 per gallon. Gingrich has twice surpassed Romney in the polls and fully expects to again.

Be Prepared

Santorum Faces a Grilling

The GOP’s new frontrunner will be under a harsh spotlight in Wednesday’s CNN debate after widely covered remarks on explosive social issues like Obama’s theology, prenatal care, and home schooling.

It doesn’t take a crystal ball to predict the kinds of questions Rick Santorum is going to get at the CNN debate in Arizona.

President Obama practices a “phony ideology” that’s not “based on the Bible?” Check.

Santorum 2012

Santorum speaks at the Maricopa County Lincoln Day Luncheon on Tuesday in Phoenix. , Eric Gay / AP Photo

State government involvement in public schools is “anachronistic”? Check.

Prenatal testing leads to more abortions and prompts us to “cull the ranks of the disabled”? John King, over to you.

When Santorum takes the stage Wednesday night, the glare of the spotlight will be unusually harsh. Despite complaints from his campaign about distorted media coverage, he is the one who has raised every one of these issues, along with birth control, in recent days. Reporters weren’t peppering him with questions about home schooling or amniocentesis. He’s the guy who put these subjects in play.

Comments

Palin Defends Santorum's Satan Comments

Sarah Palin doesn't understand why all these "lame-stream media characters" are getting all "wee-weed up about" Santorum's remarks. Haven't they "ever, ever attended a Sunday school class even?" Don't they know "satan" is just another word for "evil"?

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Election Oracle

How Strong is the Republican Brand?

How Strong is the Republican Brand?

How Strong is the Republican Brand?

Division

More Convention Chaos

Fiesty

Santorum Goes to War

Unfazed

A Messy Campaign Is No Bad Thing

Perfect Timing

Rick’s Lucky Culture War

santorum-trial-by-media-kurtz

Spin Cycle: Rick Santorum’s Trial by Media

The former senator’s campaign says the press is unfairly targeting him. But Howard Kurtz says the surging candidate invites controversy by pushing his religious views.

David Frum

Where is the GOP's Positive Program?

Where is the GOP's Positive Program?

Does the GOP have a message for 2012 besides anti-Obamaism?

NBC News