The Supreme Court killed Defense of Marriage Act on Wednesday, a huge victory for gay-rights advocates. But, with gay marriage legal in only 13 states, there are many more political and legal battles to be fought in the coming years.
To find the states where same-sex marriage is most likely to be passed, and rank them accordingly, The Daily Beast first considered the most recent state-by-state polling data. But as the mechanisms of change will be in the hands of state legislatures and courts, we also weighed the political and legal challenges that are at play.
For each state, we examined what types of legislation (if any) have been introduced or voted on, as well as whether the governor or majority of the legislature supports gay marriage. We also considered how difficult it may be to ratify gay marriage. In Virginia, for example, where 56 percent of the population supports gay marriage, the process to overturn the state’s constitutional ban on gay marriage is complicated and unlikely to happen in the immediate future. But, in Ohio, a ballot initiative in 2016 would be enough.