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What if Obama loses tomorrow? It’s the “elephant on the campaign plane,” writes Slate’s John Dickerson. But Dickerson nonetheless sees small signs of confidence from the super-cool candidate. Obama has been recycling his “don’t be hoodwinked” routine from the primaries; he offered genuine praise for McCain’s performance on Saturday Night Live; he has delighted in having Malia and Sasha with him on the trail. A loss, writes Dickerson, “would mark the biggest collective error in the history of the media and political establishment.”