The Filter: August 18, 2008
A round-up of this morning's read stories.
FOR CONVENTION, OBAMA'S IMAGE IS ALL-AMERICAN
(Jeff Zeleny and Jim Rutenberg, New York Times)
Democrats face a number of imperatives at their convention, none
trickier than making more voters comfortable with the prospect of
putting a candidate with a most unusual background — the son of a black
Kenyan father and a white Kansan mother, who grew up in Hawaii and
Indonesia — and his family in the White House. No one, his advisers
believe, makes the case better for Senator Barack Obama
of Illinois than his wife, who will expand her profile by delivering
one of the marquee speeches carried by television networks. Through
four nights there will be testimonials from family members like Mr.
Obama’s wife and sister who will tell his “very American story,” in the
words of one adviser, and from party luminaries like Senator Edward M. Kennedy (by videotape) and former President Bill Clinton (live) who will give Mr. Obama, the presumptive presidential nominee, the imprimatur of the party establishment... His aides said in interviews that perhaps the most important goal of
the entire program is to define the election on the Obama campaign’s
terms — “change” versus “more of the same” — from here until Election
Day, with the second night of the convention being heavily devoted to
contrasts between Mr. Obama and Senator John McCain of Arizona, the presumptive Republican nominee.
MCCAIN AND OBAMA AT SADDLEBACK
(Carrie Budoff Brown, Politico)
Given the sharp words exchanged between their campaigns in recent weeks, John McCain and Barack Obama put on a good show of civility Saturday at their first joint appearance of the all but officially begun general election race. Midway through the forum at Saddleback Church, McCain joined Obama on
stage. The rivals, who have spent the summer quarreling as much over
the definition of “celebrity” as the details of their policy proposals,
exchanged a man hug, a handshake followed by a one-armed embrace.
Smiling and tieless, they took their place on either side of the Rev. Rick Warren, the evangelical preacher who brought them together. For one night, at least, Warren may have achieved his desired goal of
comity. Neither candidate spoke critically of the other. And perhaps
most tellingly, their campaign’s rapid response teams fell silent for
the night. It may well prove a brief respite before a critical three-week stretch
in which McCain and Obama will announce their vice presidential picks
and accept their party’s nomination.
MCCAIN SHINES AT SADDLEBACK FORUM
(Michael Gerson, Washington Post)
The forum previewed the stylistic battle lines of the contest ahead,
and it should give Democrats pause. Obama was fluent, cool and cerebral
-- the qualities that made Adlai Stevenson interesting but did not make
him president. Obama took care to point out that he had once been a
professor at the University of Chicago, but that bit of biography was
unnecessary. His whole manner smacks of chalkboards and campus ivy.
Issues from stem cell research to the nature of evil are weighed,
analyzed and explained instead of confronted.
This approach has a genuine appeal to some voters, especially of a
more liberal bent, who believe there is a nuance shortage in American
life. But on Saturday night it did not compare well with McCain, who
was decisive, passionate and surprisingly personal. The candidate who
once seemed incapable of the confessional style of politics talked at
length of Vietnam experiences and his adopted daughter from Bangladesh.
Asked by Warren about his greatest moral failure, McCain's response --
"the failure of my first marriage" -- had an abrupt and disarming
authenticity.
BARACK OBAMA'S PURPOSE-DRIVEN GAMBLE
(Mike Madden, Salon)
What more than 5,000 Saddleback Church members (and more watching
the live TV broadcast at churches around the country) saw in the
event's first hour, when Obama took the stage, was a Democratic
candidate who was plainly comfortable talking about the role his
Christian faith plays in his life, and who used his religious views to
explain and defend his political ones. "I think America's greatest
moral failure in my lifetime has been that we still don't abide by that
basic precept in Matthew that whatever you do for the least of my
brothers, you do for me," Obama said, with Warren affirming his choice
of Scripture by finishing the quote. "That basic principle applies to
poverty. It applies to racism and sexism. It applies to, you know, not
having -- not thinking about providing ladders of opportunity for
people to get into the middle class." Not bad for a guy who's still
trying to hammer it into some voters' heads that he's not a Muslim. Of course, what they also saw was a Democratic candidate who --
though he sometimes seemed more at ease with his faith than McCain --
disagrees with many evangelical voters on issues from abortion to who
sits on the Supreme Court to the role of faith-based organizations in
providing government services.
MCCAIN AND OBAMA ON ABORTION
(Nancy Gibbs, Time)
It's not just that a majority of Americans favor at least limited
access to legal abortion. (I've seen polls suggesting that a
substantial minority of Americans thinks McCain himself is pro-choice,
which is a natural mistake given his maverick image. Will Independents
like him less when they learn more?) McCain's construction that life
begins "at the moment of conception" opens a whole new range of
questions: There is a world of mystery in what transpires between the
moment when egg meets sperm and the point of implantation, when that
fertilized egg nestles into the uterus and begins to grow. McCain's position has the great virtue of simplicity; a unique set
of chromosomes has now been assembled that has the potential to grow
into a unique human being, assuming circumstances permit. As many as
half of fertilized eggs naturally miscarry, usually before the
prospective mother even knows she was pregnant. But there is a roiling
debate over what factors might also affect implantation, with
implications for everything from fertility treatment and contraception
to criminal law and human rights. I wonder if McCain knows how deeply
into troubled waters he has waded.
MCCAIN REOPENS NATIONAL SECURITY GAP
(David Paul Kuhn, Politico)
Less than two years after Democrats finally bridged the decades-long gap
between the parties on national security issues, Republicans have
opened it right back up — a shift likely tied to the party's new
standard-bearer John McCain and the perception of improvements in Iraq. The reemergence of the national security gap comes amid the first
headline-grabbing world conflict of the 2008 campaign — the Russian
invasion of Georgia that highlights the potential for a dramatic military event to upend the political landscape, and likely aid McCain. July's NBC News/Wall
Street Journal Poll found that three in four Americans believe McCain
can "handle" the role of commander in chief, while only 19 percent said
he "cannot," compared to a 50 percent to 42 percent split for Obama. When asked which party is more capable of "dealing with the war on
terrorism," 40 percent of respondents to the latest NBC/WSJ poll said
Republican while 29 percent said Democrat. The parties had been
effectively tied as recently as January of this year, and the
11-percentage-point gap is the largest since 2004, the last year these
numbers shifted so dramatically and, not coincidentally, the last
presidential election year.
SEEING TOUGHER RACE, ALLIES ASK OBAMA TO MAKE 'HOPE' SPECIFIC
(Patrick Healy, New York Times)
As Senator Barack Obama
prepares to accept the Democratic presidential nomination next week,
party leaders in battleground states say the fight ahead against
Senator John McCain
looks tougher than they imagined, with Mr. Obama vulnerable on multiple
fronts despite weeks of cross-country and overseas campaigning. These Democrats — 15 governors, members of Congress and state party
leaders — say Mr. Obama has yet to convert his popularity among many
Americans into solutions to crucial electoral challenges: showing
ownership of an issue, like economic stewardship or national security;
winning over supporters of Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton; and minimizing his race and experience level as concerns for voters. Mr.
Obama has run for the last 18 months as the candidate of hope. Yet
party leaders — while enthusiastic about Mr. Obama and his
state-by-state campaign operations — say he must do more to convince
the many undecided Democrats and independents that he would address
their financial anxieties rather than run, by and large, as an agent of
change — given that change, they note, is not an issue.
RURAL ECONOMIC WOES MAY PROVIDE OPENING FOR OBAMA
(Kimberly Hefling, Associated Press)
The folks in this picturesque mountain community with red barns and
Amish buggies have been voting overwhelmingly Republican in national
elections for decades. But tough economic times in Mifflin County and in rural areas all
around the country have created possible openings for Democrat Barack
Obama. President Bush won nearly 70 percent of the county's vote
in both 2000 and 2004, but the standard of living here has declined
steadily during his administration. The farm equipment factory
that employed 500 workers here is closing. So is the milk plant.
Farmers are facing skyrocketing feed and fertilizer costs, and gas
prices are squeezing household budgets of those who now have to drive
elsewhere for work. Nationally, Bush won almost 60 percent of the rural vote, but Republican John McCain doesn't appear to be doing as well. In
an AP-Yahoo News Poll in June, rural voters favored McCain over Obama,
40 percent to 34 percent. About 34 percent of rural voters said McCain
"shares my values," compared to 27 percent who said Obama did. Recognizing
an opportunity, Obama has opened more offices in rural areas than any
other Democratic presidential candidate in years, pushing a message
focused on job creation. Neighborhood campaign teams have been going
door to door talking about Obama and his economic policies.
POTENTIAL VICE-PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES TREAT LIGHTLY
(Amy Chozick, Wall Street Journal)
With the Republican and Democratic Party nominating
conventions just around the corner, vice presidential shortlisters hit
the airwaves Sunday in an audition for the No. 2 spots. Appearing on TV talk shows, the could-be running mates
from both parties strived for a delicate balancing act -- at once
demonstrating their loyalty, appearing vice presidential and avoiding
over-eagerness. Sen. Barack Obama, the Illinois Democrat, is expected
to name his running mate in a matter of days, prior to the opening of
the Democratic Party convention in Denver on Aug. 25. Sen. John McCain
of Arizona is likely to identify his pick just before the Republican
gathering opens in St. Paul, Minn., on Sept. 1.
EVANGELICALS AND ROMNEY'S V.P. PROSPECTS
(Michael Kranish, Boston Globe)
An apparent effort by former presidential hopeful Mike Huckabee to
diminish the chances of former rival Mitt Romney becoming the
Republican vice presidential nominee is reviving questions about
whether Romney's prospects are being damaged by opposition from
evangelicals and religious conservatives. Gary Bauer, an evangelical leader who is an informal adviser to John
McCain's campaign, said in an interview today that evangelicals are
divided, but discounted the idea there is an organized effort to stop
McCain from picking Romney. Bauer said he personally believes that Romney "would be a great
running mate" and said he has conveyed that message personally to
Romney. Bauer, chairman of the Campaign for Working Families political
action committee, said he was not allowed to say whether he advised
McCain to pick Romney. Bauer said that he recently conducted an unscientific poll among
activists about who should be picked for vice president and said that
Romney won a plurality of votes. He said that "it was notable" that
among those who backed Huckabee, "many of them said negative things
about Governor Romney." Some evangelicals have opposed Romney on the grounds that they
believe his Mormon faith is a cult. Other conservative religious
leaders have questioned whether Romney's switch to opposing abortion
represents a genuine commitment to the issue.
AS RUNNING MATE, BIDEN OFFERS FOREIGN POLICY HEFT BUT AN INSIDER IMAGE
(John M. Broder, New York Times)
Mr. Biden’s strengths and weaknesses as a vice-presidential nominee
are glaringly obvious and in many cases overlap. At age 65, he would
bring heft, knowledge and nearly four decades of experience in
Washington to a ticket headed by a relative political newcomer. But
that experience — he was first elected to the Senate at age 29 and has
served for nearly four decades — would undercut Mr. Obama’s image as an
agent of change. Mr. Biden is among the best-informed lawmakers
on international affairs, a gap in Mr. Obama’s résumé. But Mr. Biden’s
broad knowledge, his committee chairmanship and his longtime membership
in the most exclusive debating club in the nation also feed his biggest
flaw: a verbosity and love of his own voice that drive many, including,
by some accounts, Mr. Obama, nuts.
VOTER REGISTRATION DRIVE KEY TO OBAMA'S EFFORTS TO PUT VIRGINIA IN PLAY
(Tim Craig, Washington Post)
Virginia has added nearly a quarter-million registered voters since
the 2004 elections, and about half of that growth came from
increasingly Democratic Northern Virginia. With Virginia a battleground state in the presidential race for the
first time in 44 years, the additional voters have the potential to
alter long-standing electoral patterns in some historically Republican
counties while reinforcing the Democratic tilt of others. According to a review of registration statistics from Nov. 1, 2004,
through Aug. 1 of this year, Virginia has 235,976 more registered
voters than it did in 2004, when President Bush carried the state by 262,000 votes. Democrats say the newly registered voters are fueling the Democratic resurgence in the state, including the election of Gov. Timothy M. Kaine in 2005 and U.S. Sen. James Webb in 2006. As Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) and Sen. John McCain
(R-Ariz.) battle for Virginia's 13 electoral votes, political
strategists say these newly registered voters add another element of
unpredictability to the November election.
ENTICING TEXT MESSAGERS IN A GET-OUT-THE-VOTE PUSH
(Brian Stelter, New York Times)
The names of vice-presidential candidates are typically announced at
news conferences or political conventions. But sometime before the
opening gavel of the Democratic National Convention next Monday, Senator Barack Obama plans to break the mold by doing it with a text message. Last
week, the Obama campaign said that anyone who sent a text message of
“VP” to a dedicated phone number would be among the first to learn the
identity of his running mate. The campaign has also run a television
commercial that offers a campaign sticker to any person who sends the
word “Barack” to the same number. The efforts spotlight Mr.
Obama’s push to harvest millions of cellphone numbers of potential
voters through text messaging, a technology that is increasingly moving
into the mainstream. And it could have a significant effect in
November, when the campaign plans to use the technology to get out the
vote.
OBAMA-THEMED MERCHANDISE SALES STRIKE IT HOT
(Sasha Issenberg, Boston Globe)
The Obama cargo cult is vast, stretching from quirky online
precincts, where action figures in his senatorial likeness and replicas
of his Number 23 high-school basketball jersey are readily available,
to the outskirts of high style. Paparazzi last year caught actress
Halle Berry in a $46 "Obama for Change" shirt, and these days
fashion-forward Tokyo teenagers promenade past an Obama shirt hanging
prominently in a shop window in the trendy Harajuku neighborhood. But
nowhere has the presumptive Democratic nominee's unusual persistence in
consumer culture been felt as strongly as in the informal urban
economy, where his candidacy is delivering an unexpected summertime
jolt. In downtown business districts and uptown commercial
corridors, wares with Obama's words and image - and even items with no
real connection to his campaign, but bearing his name nonetheless - are
taking space on vendors' tables that once were reserved for sports and
hip-hop icons.




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