This Campaign is About More Than Just How Much Money I Raised This Quarter. It's About How Much More Money I Raised Than Last Quarter
No one said wining the White House was going to be cheap. But at the
rate the 2008 presidential race is going, it's becoming increasingly
expensive just to lose. Just take a look at the second quarter
fundraising totals made public earlier this week. As newsworthy as
Barack Obama pulling in more than $32 million dollars in new donations
was Senator John McCain's "disappointing" $11.2 million--a figure that
has some political pros ready to consign McCain's campaign to the obit
desk.
The pundits are pawing through the numbers, trying to
make sense of "what it all means." What it means is, if your name is
Clinton, Obama or Giuliani, you're feeling pretty good. Everyone else,
not so good. And Democrats are feeling better than Republicans: All
told, Republicans were out-raised by Democrats by nearly 50 percent:
$144.3 million to $101.7 million.
So what does it all mean? Take
a look at the numbers of the top candidates and decide for yourself.
This ain't rocket science, after all.
THE DEMOCRATS
Barack Obama
If
money grew on trees, the Obama campaign would be a forest. The junior
senator from Illinois raised $32.5 million in the second
quarter--nearly $7 million more than he raised during the first three
months. He bested Hillary Clinton and set new Democratic fundraising
records. Meanwhile, an estimated 90 percent of Obama's 258,000 donors
have yet to max out on their donations, meaning he can turn to many of
them again and again in the months ahead.
Hillary Clinton
Despite
raising $27 million in the second quarter--the same blazing pace she
set during the year's first three months--Clinton is no longer the
fundraising leader. But don't pity New York's junior senator just yet.
Her fundraising totals also eclipsed the previous Democratic record for
the second-quarter of a non-election year, a mark of $9.6 million set
in 1995 by a long-retired pol named Bill. And some observers think that
playing second fiddle for a while might not be all that harmful. "This
ought to increase the focus on Obama's record and his position," says
political analyst Stuart Rothenberg, "and that wouldn't be bad for
Hillary to get a breather."
John Edwards
Edwards saw
an uptick in contributions after fading, attention-starved Ann Coulter
attacked him and his wife. But he still only managed to pull in $9
million during the second quarter, a $5 million drop off from the first
three months. The campaign says it's still on track to reach its goal
of $40 million this year. Eight years ago, that would have seemed like
serious money. Today, it seems quaint. Plus, Edwards was nearly outdone
by longshot Bill Richardson, who took in $7 million.
THE REPUBLICANS
Rudy Giuliani
Giuliani
hauled in $17 million during the last three months, defying some
odds-makers who predicted his fundraising would fall-off. Rudy as the
only one of the Republican frontrunners to improve on his first quarter
total ($16.6 million). He did it by doubling his donor base. He now
finds himself with $18 million in the bank, more than leading
challengers.
John McCain
Much like the immigration
bill he vociferously supported, John McCain's campaign teetered on the
brink of collapse during the second fundraising quarter. The senator
from Arizona raised $11.2 million dollars over the last three months,
much less than what was expected from the one-time favorite. Making
matters worse, the campaign was left with only $2 million cash on hand,
forcing McCain to lay off dozens of workers. Perhaps most ominous is
his shrinking donor list. During the first quarter, 50,000 people
contributed to the McCain campaign. Over the last three months, only
33,000 did.
Mitt Romney
Money can buy you a lot of
things, and in Romney's case, it bought him a bit of protection from
negative publicity. The former Massachusetts governor raised $14
million from April through June, falling off the $20.6 million pace set
during the campaign's first quarter. More telling, however, was that
Romney lent himself a whopping $6.5 million, bringing his total
personal tab up to $8.85 million. So while the campaign seems
relatively flush with $12 million on hand, without his independent
wealth Romney would find himself in a McCainsian predicament.
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