Obama’s Head Start

Election Day is still nearly a month away, but Barack Obama is off to a running start. The indispensable Nate Silver looks at polling numbers of early voting in five swing states and finds that Obama leads by an average of 23 points. Early voters broke for Bush in 2000 and 2004, and while “early voters tend to be your stauncher partisans rather than your uncommitted voters,” the numbers “imply that Obama is quite likely to turn out his base in large numbers.”