For the New Jersey governor's message of electability to have any hope in the presidential race, he needs Republicans to do poorly in next year's midterms.
I wouldn’t say that New Jersey Governor Chris Christie is the presumptive frontrunner for the Republican presidential nomination in 2016—though, like Ross Douthat, I’m not sure who could beat him—but it is true that he is the official candidate of the GOP establishment. And, with a reelection coalition of Republicans, Democrats, young people, Latinos, and African Americans, Christie stands as the only potential presidential nominee that can claim a credible path to victory.
No, Cuccinelli’s narrow defeat isn’t a blow to Obamacare—or a sure sign Virginia is going blue. And seriously? Christie’s smashing 22-point win doesn’t mean he’ll beat Hillary in 2016.
The conventional wisdom on New Jersey: Huge Chris Christie win sets him up to steamroll his way to the Republican nomination in 2016, proving that a more mainstream conservative can win in a blue state. The conventional wisdom on Virginia: Ken Cuccinelli’s stinging loss in a purple state in an off-off-year election against Terry McAuliffe, a flawed Democratic candidate, shows not only that he was too extreme but also that Virginia is inching its way into the Democratic column.
Despite significantly outspending Ken Cuccinelli and enjoying a big early lead in the Virginia governor’s race, Democrat Terry McAuliffe won only narrowly—and it came down to the wire.
The surprise in Tuesday’s Virginia gubernatorial election isn’t that Terry McAuliffe badly underperformed polls in achieving a slim win of 48 percent to 46 percent over Republican Ken Cuccinelli. It’s that McAuliffe won at all. Disappointed Cuccinelli supporters can point to a number of reasons why their candidate lost, but relieved McAuliffe backers don’t have easy answers for how a six- to eight-point lead going in ended up in a nail-biter that wasn’t called for hours after the polls closed.
After his landslide win, the N.J. governor’s being called the next Dubya. But Christie lacks Bush’s connection with the base—and the demographics have shifted dramatically since 2000.
In the wake of Chris Christie’s reelection romp on Tuesday, the press is filled with comparisons between the New Jersey governor and a pre-presidency George W. Bush. They’re both Republican governors who appear moderate and bipartisan compared to their party’s zealots in Washington. They’re both beloved by big donors. Each has made inroads among the Democratic-leaning constituencies with whom Republicans must do better. But there’s a problem with the analogy.
Ted Cruz is known as a right-wing troublemaker, but he is tame compared to his dad. Here are a few of the craziest things Rafael Cruz has uttered on public stages in the last year.
Texas’ junior senator and 2016 presidential prospect, Ted Cruz, has made quite a conservative name for himself in a year. Just last month, he helped to engineer a government shutdown and won the far right-wing Values Voter Summit straw poll.His father, Rafael Cruz, is just as much of a troublemaker but may turn out to be more of a hindrance than a help in the senator’s presidential bid. An evangelical Texas pastor armed with an inspirational (though questioned) story of escaping Cuba’s Castro regime, he often speaks to the religious and conservative base.
Emerging legislation from Republican Sen. Bob Corker could block Obama from easing sanctions on Iran and create tougher conditions for reaching an interim deal with Tehran.
On the eve of new nuclear negotiations with Iran, the top Republican senator on the Foreign Relations Committee is considering legislation that would prevent President Obama from loosening sanctions on the Tehran regime.“We’ve crafted an amendment to freeze the administration in and make it so they are unable to reduce the sanctions unless certain things occur,” Sen. Bob Corker (R-TN) told The Daily Beast in an interview Wednesday. “They have the ability now to waive sanctions.
From McAuliffe’s narrow victory to Christie’s landslide, last night’s votes had something for everyone.
Yesterday’s results in Virginia and New Jersey are a warning to politicians who embrace Obamacare. They’re also a warning to politicians who embrace the Tea Party.In Virginia, heavily favored Democrat Terry McAuliffe barely eked out a two-point win, while in New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie sailed to reelection with a 20-point victory. Meanwhile, in a special congressional election in Alabama, Chamber of Commerce-type Republican Bradley Byrne defeated Dean Young, a Tea Party favorite, 53-46.
In the most powerful gun lobby’s home state, an extreme position on background checks may have cost a Republican candidate his race. What Virginia means for the future of gun control.
Last night, Terry McAuliffe beat Ken Cuccinelli in the Virginia governor’s race by a margin of 55,000 votes. The race turned out to be closer than many expected, but a loss is a loss—the voters’ verdict will likely be viewed in part as a rejection of Mr. Cuccinelli’s extreme social conservative agenda.What may be more disappointing for conservatives is a potentially razor-thin defeat in the Virginia Attorney General’s race. Republican candidate Mark Obenshain had appeared to be a more palatable option than Cuccinelli throughout much of the campaign.
African American voters turned out in huge numbers for the Virginia gubernatorial election, giving Terry McAuliffe a win and proving the "Obama model" can work without Obama.
One of the big questions of the next few years of politics is whether Democrats can replicate the “Obama model” of minority turnout without the presence of Obama on the ballot. If the Virginia gubernatorial election was a test case, then the early answer is a clear “yes.” After all, the winner in last night’s election—Democratic fundraiser Terry McAuliffe—is a sleazy, corrupt influence peddler who pushed the boundaries on fundraising and enriched himself in the process.
I’ll have more to say later today and tomorrow on last night’s results. But let’s start the morning, now that that election is over, thinking about the next one. A year from today, we’ll wake up to find out who’s in control of the United States Senate—and to see what new faces will emerge there (and which old faces the new ones will be sending off to pasture).One old face not looking so hot right now is Mitch McConnell’s. He’s being challenged first by a tea-party primary opponent, Matt Bevin.
Local elections were taking place all over America on Tuesday night. From anti-coal measures to minimum wage hikes it was a great night for liberals.
The voters of Virginia and New Jersey weren’t the only ones holding some tea leaves in their hands last night. All across the country in obscure races you may never have heard about, voters were sending other messages, and a lot of them were surprisingly liberal.Let’s start in the small Seattle suburb called SeaTac, where voters approved a minimum wage hike to a whopping $15 an hour for most workers at Seattle’s main airport. Washington state already has the country’s highest minimum wage, at $9.
The Senate has cleared the way for gay citizens to be protected at work, but Boehner and the House Republicans are determined to quash the law. Why they’re on the wrong side of history.
Two big gay things happened on Monday. First, the Senate voted to clear a procedural hurdle that will eventually lead to passing the Employee Non-Discrimination Act (ENDA), which would ban employment discrimination based on sexual orientation and gender identity throughout the United States. Second, on the same day, Mike Michaud, the leading candidate to be the next governor of Maine, announced that he is gay. Both events are, as we gays might say, fabulous.
The margin was slimmer than expected, but the Republican still lost in Virginia. From donations to social issues, why he crumbled—and why some say he was stabbed in the back.
Barring the return of Reconstruction, the concept of Terry McAuliffe as governor of Virginia once seemed laughable. This was a man who once downed shots on cable news and whose biggest political innovation was allowing major donors to stay over in the Lincoln Bedroom during the Clinton administration. But the brash Democratic fundraiser and New York native was elected Tuesday by a margin of 48 to 46 over Ken Cuccinelli, the state’s socially conservative attorney general.
Christie’s huge N.J. win across demographic divides was a rebuke to critics of Northeastern Republicans as Republicans in Name Only. And it offers the GOP a path to power in 2016.
Chris Christie’s landslide reelection in a state President Obama won by 17 points offers the GOP a memo on how to win in 2016, if it wants one.Don’t just fixate on the top-line numbers. They obscure the real story. Look instead at Christie’s initial exit poll margins among women, independent voters, moderates, the middle class, Hispanics, and African-Americans. In those cross-tab stats, you see the outlines of a candidate who can dig the GOP out of the demographic trap it’s facing.
Anger at the gridlocked Washington political establishment fueled wins for Bill de Blasio, Chris Christie, and Terry McAuliffe—a good sign for GOP governors in 2016.
On this night four years ago, it was clear. A wave was coming. In November 2009 it was still far out to sea, but it was coming. Chris Christie, a tough talking former U.S. attorney, had upended a liberal governor in Democratic New Jersey. In Virginia a hard-right Republican, Bob McDonnell, running on a socially conservative platform, had crushed the Democrat in a state thought to be trending blue. In two suburban swing counties in New York, unknown Republicans romped over longtime Democratic officeholders.
Saturday was the deadline to fix the site. Did they do it, and if so, does it even matter? The Sunday talk shows look at the practical and political future of Obamacare.
Crushed in the 2012 ground and data game, the GOP has learned its lesson—and is knee deep in Clinton oppo-research. From health care to the Hillary films, it’s already working.