Chances of nomination: 15%
Any one of these three films could wind up sneaking onto the list, but don't bet money on it.
First up is the
The Company Men. "It's this year's
Up in the Air," jokes one academy member, when asked about the Ben Affleck starrer. Maybe, maybe not. Though the film does grapple with similar issues, it's not really a comedy, and we're not sensing voters are going to be rushing to see it. But should it get great reviews, that could change.
Fair Game, meanwhile, the movie about the Valerie Plame affair, pairs a talented director (Doug Liman of
Swingers, The Bourne Identity) with an amazing cast (Naomi Watts, Sean Penn), and speaks to Hollywood's political impulses. Still, interest in the movie hasn't exactly reached a groundswell, making a nomination seem like a very remote possibility. Of almost 10 voters we spoke to, not one said they were planning on nominating it.
We're hearing a fair amount from voting friends about
Animal Kingdom, the Australian crime drama. Right now, this film's pulling out an Oscar nomination in the biggest category of them all seems like a major long shot, but the odds for actress Jacki Weaver, who plays the matriarch of a gang of robbers, are pretty high, and there exists an outside possibility the film could score a nod, too.