Nam Y. Huh / AP Photo
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Why I Started FiveThirtyEight
Nam Y. Huh / AP Photo
Nate Silver, the statistician who has now predicted two presidential elections with astounding...
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The Statisticians on the Bus
youtube (2)
How a nerd named Nate Silver changed political reporting forever.
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Revenge of the Nerd
Randy Stewart / Wikipedia
Trevor Butterworth on the nerdy winner of the 2012 election
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cheat sheet
Silver: Last Polls Show Fla. Tied
Obama: 49.797. Romney: 49.775. MORE
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article
Obama’s Going to Lose!
The Redskins Rule, which predicted 17 of the last 18 presidents, says Romney will win. By Michael Solomon. MORE
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gallery
Wildest Celebrity Wagers
Will it be Nate Silver or Joe Scarborough? From Clooney to Romney, a look at high-stakes bets—and who won. MORE
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article
Nate Silver as Resentment Symbol
Why this Nate Silver-bashing? The right needs a symbol for its resentments. MORE
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article
More on Party ID Sampling in Polls
Might conservatives have a point about the WashPost poll sample? But what of Politico? MORE
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article
Math Is More Fun If You Only Count What You Like
Romney does better in polls that don’t call cellphones (that is, that don’t reflect reality). MORE
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cheat sheet
Five Thirty Eight: Romney to Win MI, AZ
Predicts Arizona will be a lock for Mitt. MORE
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blog
Nate Silver on How to Destroy 5% of Global GDP (and Half the World)
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article
Begley: Why Polling Can Go Wrong
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