Obama's Approval Rating Explained
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One obvious explanation for the president's January surge: the familiar "rally to the winner" effect. George W. Bush's Gallup approval rating spiked to 57% in the first week of February 2005, boosted by his second inaugural and the first Iraqi elections.
Bill Clinton, who won re-election in 1996 with a shade under 50% of the vote, touched 60% at the beginning of February of 1997.
In that sense, then, there's nothing very surprising about President Obama's post-election number. And nothing very predictive either: it might stay high (as Bill Clinton's did) or plunge lower (as George W. Bush's did) depending on events to come in the months ahead.
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About the Author
David Frum
David Frum is a contributing editor at Newsweek and The Daily Beast and a CNN contributor. He is the author of eight books, including most recently the e-book WHY ROMNEY LOST and his first novel Patriots, published in April 2012.
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