Famed Iowa Pollster Who Got Election Wrong to Leave Profession
J. Ann Selzer had predicted Kamala Harris would beat Donald Trump in Iowa, though he won by 14 points.

MSNBC
J. Ann Selzer, the famous Iowa pollster whose latest state poll got the 2024 presidential election results wildly wrong, will no longer do election polling. Selzer, 68, wrote in a Des Moines Register column that she would pursue “other ventures and opportunities,” though she didn’t outline what those would look like. Selzer conveniently told the paper she would end her run of election polls before her latest poll showed Kamala Harris beating Donald Trump by three points in the Hawkeye State, writing that she informed the Register earlier this year. (Trump won the state by 14 points.) “Would I have liked to make this announcement after a final poll aligned with Election Day results? Of course,” she wrote. “It’s ironic that it’s just the opposite.” Selzer, whose polling methodology has often been regarded as the “gold standard,” said earlier this month she would be “reviewing data” to learn why her presidential prediction was so long.
Register below to read this article for free or subscribe
to unlock unlimited access to The Daily Beast.
Monthly
$1
First month then $5.99/month
Annual
$35
First year then $59.99/year
Premium
$79
First year then $119.99/year
*Substack access provided by the next business day, using your subscription email. Choosing the Premium plan constitutes your permission to share your subscription email with Substack and your agreement to Substack’s Privacy Policy.
Already have an account? Sign In
Looks like you already have a subscription!
You're all set!
Thanks for subscribing.