2014 SAG Nominations: Surprises, Snubs, and What It Means for Oscar

Want to score big in your Oscar pool? Pay attention to this morning’s announcement. More than the Golden Globe Awards, the splashy Hollywood orgy of stars that has practically zero bearing on the eventual Academy Award nominees (this is an organization that has nominated The Tourist and Burlesque for Best Picture), the SAG Awards are a more reliable forecaster of what the Academy might on its shortlists. Or rather, who.

Actors make up the largest segment of Academy members, so their tea leaves are the best when it comes to the acting races (let’s be honest, the races we care most about). By that regard, expect 12 Years a Slave, Dallas Buyers Club, August: Osage County, and Lee Daniels’ The Butler to do well at this year’s Oscars—12 Years leads SAG nominees with four nods, followed by three a piece for the Dallas, August, and The Butler. Also expect contenders who seemed to have all-but lost their buzz—Forest Whitaker in Best Actor for The Butler, Daniel Bruhl for Rush, and James Gandolfini for Enough Said, both in Supporting Actor—to be back in contention again.

In the embarrassment-of-riches Best Actor category, Whitaker's inclusion means Robert Redford (All Is Lost), Joaquin Phoenix (Her), and Michael B. Jordan (Fruitvale Station) all were snubbed. Redford's exclusion is probably the biggest surprise, though a lot of people in the industry are still rooting for Phoenix to make a surge in the race for his brilliant performance in Her. The two actress categories could very well be set, with the ten nominees all likely to repeat with Oscar mentions. Gandolfini and Bruhl's inclusion in Supporting Actor means Tom Hanks (Saving Mr. Banks) and Bradley Cooper (American Hustle) are on shakier ground come Oscar time.

This year’s SAG TV nominees provided few surprises, with most of the contenders coming from the usual suspects: Breaking Bad, The Big Bang Theory, and Modern Family. Not surprisingly, given the crop of new series that debuted this year, no nominees come from freshman TV shows, though there are a handful of welcome first-time contenders, including Mayim Bialik for The Big Bang Theory, Kerry Washington for Scandal, and Don Cheadle (a former nominee in other categories) for House of Lies.

Check out the full list of nominees below.

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role

BRUCE DERN / Woody Grant – NEBRASKA (Paramount Pictures)

CHIWETEL EJIOFOR / Solomon Northup – 12 YEARS A SLAVE (Fox Searchlight Pictures)

TOM HANKS / Capt. Richard Phillips – CAPTAIN PHILLIPS (Columbia Pictures)

MATTHEW McCONAUGHEY / Ron Woodroof – DALLAS BUYERS CLUB (Focus Features)

FOREST WHITAKER / Cecil Gaines – LEE DANIELS’ THE BUTLER (The Weinstein Company)

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role

CATE BLANCHETT / Jasmine – BLUE JASMINE (Sony Pictures Classics)

SANDRA BULLOCK / Ryan Stone – GRAVITY (Warner Bros. Pictures)

JUDI DENCH / Philomena Lee – PHILOMENA (The Weinstein Company)

MERYL STREEP / Violet Weston – AUGUST: OSAGE COUNTY (The Weinstein Company)

EMMA THOMPSON / P.L. Travers – SAVING MR. BANKS (Walt Disney Pictures)

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role

BARKHAD ABDI / Muse – CAPTAIN PHILLIPS (Columbia Pictures)

DANIEL BRÜHL / Niki Lauda – RUSH (Universal Pictures)

MICHAEL FASSBENDER / Edwin Epps – 12 YEARS A SLAVE (Fox Searchlight Pictures)

JAMES GANDOLFINI / Albert – ENOUGH SAID (Fox Searchlight Pictures)

JARED LETO / Rayon – DALLAS BUYERS CLUB (Focus Features)

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role

JENNIFER LAWRENCE / Rosalyn Rosenfeld – AMERICAN HUSTLE (Columbia Pictures)

LUPITA NYONG’O / Patsey – 12 YEARS A SLAVE (Fox Searchlight Pictures)

JULIA ROBERTS / Barbara Weston – AUGUST: OSAGE COUNTY (The Weinstein Company)

JUNE SQUIBB / Kate Grant – NEBRASKA (Paramount Pictures)

OPRAH WINFREY / Gloria Gaines – LEE DANIELS’ THE BUTLER (The Weinstein Company)

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture

12 YEARS A SLAVE (Fox Searchlight Pictures)

BENEDICT CUMBERBATCH / Ford

PAUL DANO / Tibeats

GARRET DILLAHUNT / Armsby

CHIWETEL EJIOFOR / Solomon Northup

MICHAEL FASSBENDER / Edwin Epps

PAUL GIAMATTI / Freeman

SCOOT McNAIRY / Brown

LUPITA NYONG’O / Patsey

ADEPERO ODUYE / Eliza

SARAH PAULSON / Mistress Epps

BRAD PITT / Bass

MICHAEL KENNETH WILLIAMS / Robert

ALFRE WOODARD / Mistress Shaw

AMERICAN HUSTLE (Columbia Pictures)

AMY ADAMS / Sydney Prosser

CHRISTIAN BALE / Irving Rosenfeld

LOUIS C.K. / Stoddard Thorsen

BRADLEY COOPER / Richie DiMaso

PAUL HERMAN / Alfonse Simone

JACK HUSTON / Pete Musane

JENNIFER LAWRENCE / Rosalyn Rosenfeld

ALESSANDRO NIVOLA / Federal Prosecutor

MICHAEL PEÑA / Sheik (Agent Hernandez)

JEREMY RENNER / Mayor Carmine Polito

ELISABETH RÖHM / Dolly Polito

SHEA WHIGHAM / Carl Elway

AUGUST: OSAGE COUNTY (The Weinstein Company)

ABIGAIL BRESLIN / Jean Fordham

CHRIS COOPER / Charles Aiken

BENEDICT CUMBERBATCH / “Little” Charles Aiken

JULIETTE LEWIS / Karen Weston

MARGO MARTINDALE / Mattie Fae Aiken

EWAN McGREGOR / Bill Fordham

DERMOT MULRONEY / Steve

JULIANNE NICHOLSON / Ivy Weston

JULIA ROBERTS / Barbara Weston

SAM SHEPARD / Beverly Weston

MERYL STREEP / Violet Weston

MISTY UPHAM / Johnna

DALLAS BUYERS CLUB (Focus Features)

JENNIFER GARNER / Dr. Eve Saks

MATTHEW McCONAUGHEY / Ron Woodroof

JARED LETO / Rayon

DENIS O’HARE / Dr. Sevard

DALLAS ROBERTS / David Wayne

STEVE ZAHN / Tucker

LEE DANIELS’ THE BUTLER (The Weinstein Company)

MARIAH CAREY / Hattie Pearl

JOHN CUSACK / Richard Nixon

JANE FONDA / Nancy Reagan

CUBA GOODING, JR. / Carter Wilson

TERRENCE HOWARD / Howard

LENNY KRAVITZ / James Holloway

JAMES MARSDEN / John F. Kennedy

DAVID OYELOWO / Louis Gaines

ALEX PETTYFER / Thomas Westfall

VANESSA REDGRAVE / Annabeth Westfall

ALAN RICKMAN / Ronald Reagan

LIEV SCHREIBER / Lyndon B. Johnson

FOREST WHITAKER / Cecil Gaines

ROBIN WILLIAMS / Dwight D. Eisenhower

OPRAH WINFREY / Gloria Gaines

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Television Movie or Miniseries

MATT DAMON / Scott Thorson – BEHIND THE CANDELABRA (HBO)

MICHAEL DOUGLAS / Liberace – BEHIND THE CANDELABRA (HBO)

JEREMY IRONS / King Henry IV – THE HOLLOW CROWN (WNET/Thirteen)

ROB LOWE / John F. Kennedy – KILLING KENNEDY (National Geographic Channel)

AL PACINO / Phil Spector – PHIL SPECTOR (HBO)

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Television Movie or Miniseries

ANGELA BASSETT / Coretta Scott King – BETTY & CORETTA (Lifetime)

HELENA BONHAM CARTER / Elizabeth Taylor – BURTON AND TAYLOR (BBC America)

HOLLY HUNTER / G.J. – TOP OF THE LAKE (Sundance Channel)

HELEN MIRREN / Linda Kenney Baden – PHIL SPECTOR (HBO)

ELISABETH MOSS / Robin Griffin – TOP OF THE LAKE (Sundance Channel)

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Drama Series

STEVE BUSCEMI / Enoch “Nucky” Thompson – BOARDWALK EMPIRE (HBO)

BRYAN CRANSTON / Walter White – BREAKING BAD (AMC)

JEFF DANIELS / Will McAvoy – THE NEWSROOM (HBO)

PETER DINKLAGE / Tyrion Lannister – GAME OF THRONES (HBO)

KEVIN SPACEY / Francis Underwood – HOUSE OF CARDS (Netflix)

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Drama Series

CLAIRE DANES / Carrie Mathison – HOMELAND (Showtime)

ANNA GUNN / Skyler White – BREAKING BAD (AMC)

JESSICA LANGE / Fiona Goode – AMERICAN HORROR STORY: COVEN (FX)

MAGGIE SMITH / Violet, Dowager Countess of Grantham – DOWNTON ABBEY (PBS)

KERRY WASHINGTON / Olivia Pope – SCANDAL (ABC)

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Comedy Series

ALEC BALDWIN / Jack Donaghy – 30 ROCK (NBC)

JASON BATEMAN / Michael Bluth – ARRESTED DEVELOPMENT (Netflix)

TY BURRELL / Phil Dunphy – MODERN FAMILY (ABC)

DON CHEADLE / Martin “Marty” Kaan – HOUSE OF LIES (Showtime)

JIM PARSONS / Sheldon Cooper – THE BIG BANG THEORY (CBS)

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Comedy Series

MAYIM BIALIK / Amy Farrah Fowler – THE BIG BANG THEORY (CBS)

JULIE BOWEN / Claire Dunphy – MODERN FAMILY (ABC)

EDIE FALCO / Jackie Peyton – NURSE JACKIE (Showtime)

TINA FEY / Liz Lemon – 30 ROCK (NBC)

JULIA LOUIS-DREYFUS / Vice President Selina Meyer – VEEP (HBO)

Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Drama Series

BOARDWALK EMPIRE (HBO)

PATRICIA ARQUETTE / Sally Wheet

MARGOT BINGHAM / Daughter Maitland

STEVE BUSCEMI / Enoch “Nucky” Thompson

BRIAN GERAGHTY / Agent Warren Knox

STEPHEN GRAHAM / Al Capone

ERIK LA RAY HARVEY / Dunn Purnsley

JACK HUSTON / Richard Harrow

RON LIVINGSTON / Roy Phillips

DOMENICK LOMBARDOZZI / Ralph Capone

GRETCHEN MOL / Gillian Darmody

BEN ROSENFIELD / Willie Thompson

MICHAEL STUHLBARG / Arnold Rothstein

JACOB WARE / Agent Selby

SHEA WHIGHAM / Elias “Eli” Thompson

MICHAEL KENNETH WILLIAMS / “Chalky” White

JEFFREY WRIGHT / Valentin Narcisse

BREAKING BAD (AMC)

MICHAEL BOWEN / Uncle Jack

BETSY BRANDT / Marie Schrader

BRYAN CRANSTON / Walter White

LAVELL CRAWFORD / Huell

TAIT FLETCHER / Lester

LAURA FRASER / Lydia Rodarte-Quale

ANNA GUNN / Skyler White

MATTHEW T. METZLER / Matt

RJ MITTE / Walter White Jr.

DEAN NORRIS / Hank Schrader

BOB ODENKIRK / Saul Goodman

AARON PAUL / Jesse Pinkman

JESSE PLEMONS / Todd

STEVEN MICHAEL QUEZADA / Gomez

KEVIN RANKIN / Kenny

PATRICK SANE / Frankie

DOWNTON ABBEY (PBS)

HUGH BONNEVILLE / Robert, Earl of Grantham

LAURA CARMICHAEL / Lady Edith Crawley

JIM CARTER / Mr. Carson

BRENDAN COYLE / John Bates

MICHELLE DOCKERY / Lady Mary Crawley

KEVIN DOYLE / Molesley

JESSICA BROWN FINDLAY / Lady Sybil Crawley

SIOBHAN FINNERAN / Sarah O’Brien

JOANNE FROGGATT / Anna Bates

ROB JAMES-COLLIER / Thomas Barrow

ALLEN LEECH / Tom Branson

PHYLLIS LOGAN / Mrs. Hughes

ELIZABETH McGOVERN / Cora, Countess of Grantham

SOPHIE McSHERA / Daisy

MATT MILNE / Alfred

LESLEY NICOL / Mrs. Patmore

AMY NUTTALL / Ethel

DAVID ROBB / Dr. Clarkson

MAGGIE SMITH / Violet, Dowager Countess of Grantham

ED SPELEERS / Jimmy

DAN STEVENS / Matthew Crawley

CARA THEOBOLD / Ivy

PENELOPE WILTON / Isobel Crawley

GAME OF THRONES (HBO)

ALFIE ALLEN / Theon Greyjoy

JOHN BRADLEY / Samwell Tarly

OONA CHAPLIN / Talisa Maegyr

GWENDOLINE CHRISTIE / Brienne of Tarth

EMILIA CLARKE / Daenerys Targaryen

NIKOLAJ COSTER-WALDAU / Jaime Lannister

MACKENZIE CROOK / Orell

CHARLES DANCE / Tywin Lannister

JOE DEMPSIE / Gendry

PETER DINKLAGE / Tyrion Lannister

NATALIE DORMER / Margaery Tyrell

NATHALIE EMMANUEL / Missandei

MICHELLE FAIRLEY / Lady Catelyn Stark

JACK GLEESON / Joffrey Baratheon

IAIN GLEN / Ser Jorah Mormont

KIT HARINGTON / Jon Snow

LENA HEADEY /Cersei Lannister

ISAAC HEMPSTEAD WRIGHT / Brandon “Bran” Stark

KRISTOFER HIVJU / Tormund Giantsbane

PAUL KAYE / Thoros of Myr

SIBEL KEKILLI / Shae

ROSE LESLIE / Ygritte

RICHARD MADDEN / Robb Stark

RORY McCANN / Sandor “The Hound” Clegane

MICHAEL McELHATTON / Roose Bolton

IAN McELHINNEY / Barristan Selmy

PHILIP McGINLEY / Anguy

HANNAH MURRAY / Gilly

IWAN RHEON / Ramsay Snow

SOPHIE TURNER / Sansa Stark

CARICE VAN HOUTEN / Melisandre

MAISIE WILLIAMS / Arya Stark

HOMELAND (Showtime)

F. MURRAY ABRAHAM / Dar Adal

SARITA CHOUDHURY / Mira Berenson

CLAIRE DANES / Carrie Mathison

RUPERT FRIEND / Peter Quinn

TRACY LETTS / Sen. Andrew Lockhart

DAMIAN LEWIS / Nicholas Brody

MANDY PATINKIN / Saul Berenson

MORGAN SAYLOR / Dana Brody

Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Comedy Series

30 ROCK (NBC)

SCOTT ADSIT / Pete Hornberger

ALEC BALDWIN / Jack Donaghy

KATRINA BOWDEN / Cerie

KEVIN BROWN / Dot Com

GRIZZ CHAPMAN / Grizz

TINA FEY / Liz Lemon

JUDAH FRIEDLANDER / Frank Rossitano

JANE KRAKOWSKI / Jenna Maroney

JOHN LUTZ / Lutz

JAMES MARSDEN / Criss

JACK McBRAYER / Kenneth Parcell

TRACY MORGAN / Tracy Jordan

KEITH POWELL / Toofer

ARRESTED DEVELOPMENT (Netflix)

WILL ARNETT / George Oscar “G.O.B.” Bluth II

JASON BATEMAN / Michael Bluth

JOHN BEARD / Himself

MICHAEL CERA / George-Michael Bluth

DAVID CROSS / Tobias Fünke

PORTIA DE ROSSI / Lindsay Bluth Fünke

ISLA FISHER / Rebel Alley

TONY HALE / Buster Bluth

RON HOWARD / Narrator/Himself

LIZA MINNELLI / Lucille Austero

ALIA SHAWKAT / Maeby Fünke

JEFFREY TAMBOR / George Bluth, Sr./Oscar Bluth

JESSICA WALTER / Lucille Bluth

HENRY WINKLER / Barry Zuckerkorn

THE BIG BANG THEORY (CBS)

MAYIM BIALIK / Amy Farrah Fowler

KALEY CUOCO / Penny

JOHNNY GALECKI / Leonard Hofstadter

SIMON HELBERG / Howard Wolowitz

KUNAL NAYYAR / Rajesh Koothrappali

JIM PARSONS / Sheldon Cooper

MELISSA RAUCH / Bernadette Rostenkowski

MODERN FAMILY (ABC)

JULIE BOWEN / Claire Dunphy

TY BURRELL / Phil Dunphy

AUBREY ANDERSON EMMONS / Lily Tucker-Pritchett

JESSE TYLER FERGUSON / Mitchell Pritchett

NOLAN GOULD / Luke Dunphy

SARAH HYLAND / Haley Dunphy

ED O’NEILL / Jay Pritchett

RICO RODRIGUEZ / Manny Delgado

ERIC STONESTREET / Cameron Tucker

SOFIA VERGARA / Gloria Delgado-Pritchett

ARIEL WINTER / Alex Dunphy

VEEP (HBO)

SUFE BRADSHAW / Sue Wilson

ANNA CHLUMSKY / Amy Brookheimer

GARY COLE / Kent Davidson

KEVIN DUNN / Ben Cafferty

TONY HALE / Gary Walsh

JULIA LOUIS-DREYFUS / Vice President Selina Meyer

REID SCOTT / Dan Egan

TIMOTHY SIMONS / Jonah Ryan

MATT WALSH / Mike McLintock

SAG AWARDS^® HONORS FOR STUNT ENSEMBLES

Outstanding Action Performance by a Stunt Ensemble in a Motion Picture

ALL IS LOST (Lionsgate)

FAST & FURIOUS 6 (Universal Pictures)

LONE SURVIVOR (Universal Pictures)

RUSH (Universal Pictures)

THE WOLVERINE (20^th Century Fox)

Outstanding Action Performance by a Stunt Ensemble in a Comedy or Drama Series

BOARDWALK EMPIRE (HBO)

BREAKING BAD (AMC)

GAME OF THRONES (HBO)

HOMELAND (Showtime)

THE WALKING DEAD (AMC)

LIFE ACHIEVEMENT AWARD

Screen Actors Guild 50th Annual Life Achievement Award

RITA MORENO