Prediction

They’ve been wildly wrong before, but experts looking at our future are surprisingly optimistic.

Can software perform better than humans on matters of hiring and retaining employees?

Sure, Germany is back in the World Cup final. But it’ll have to beat Argentina without Paul, the cephalopod that correctly predicted the results of all eight (!) German matches last go-around.

The statistician and author of the new book The Signal and the Noise, who has now predicted two presidential elections with astounding accuracy, on the principles he abides by on his blog.