Prediction

Newly appointed White House Press Secretary Katie Zacharia speaks during her first press briefing in the James Brady Briefing Room of the White House in Washington, DC, on October 13, 2026.

Katie Zacharia Sparks Exit Speculation After Car Crash Debut

Bettors are already predicting that Trump’s new press secretary will leave at some point between now and the end of the year.

Lauren Hartley

Donald Trump, ilustration

Trump-Tied Bets Firm Quietly Pulls Segregation Gambling Ad

Kalshi cast the end of baseball’s color line as a betting market—then the pages featuring Jackie Robinson quietly vanished.

Tom Latchem

Donald Trump, Howard Lutnick, Susie Wiles, and Pete Hegseth

PLACE YOUR BETS

Trump's Next Cabinet Casualty Eyed After Shake-Up

The betting markets are profiting from Trump’s purge.

Laura Esposito

Trump

SUSPICIOUS TIMING

Prediction Markets Surged Just Before Iran Ceasefire

More than $170 million was bet on a ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran just before it was announced.

Annabella Rosciglione

Trump

Trump Dealt New Blow as Impeachment Odds Hit Record High

The odds that Trump will be impeached and removed from office are at an all-time high.

Annabella Rosciglione

Polymarket debuts "The Situation Room'

NEVER TELL ME THE ODDS

Prediction Market Bar Suffers Incredibly Predictable Mishap

A mysterious power outage spoiled the opeing of Polymarket’s The Situation Room bar pop-up.

Daysia Tolentino