Don’t Pass Go: AI Will Beat You at Pretty Much Everything
If robots invite you to game night, prepare to lose.
Earlier this month, in a paper published in Nature, Google DeepMind researchers revealed that they’ve attained the holy grail of artificial intelligence game-playing: besting the European champion in the ancient Chinese game of Go.
Go is deceptively simple: players put down black and white stones on points on a 19 x 19 gridded game board (that’s 361 squares; smaller game boards are available for shorter games). The objective is to control real estate on the board without getting surrounded and captured by the other player’s stones. The game gets more complicated when players link stones, which makes them harder but more enticing to capture. For AI, the sheer number of possibilities (2.082 x 10170, according to mathematicians—more atoms than there are in the universe, in case you’re counting) makes Go incredibly difficult to play and win.
But if it’s one thing we know about AI, it’s not to count it out for long.
DeepMind, a British AI company that Google acquired two years ago, has a simple mission: to “solve intelligence.” This means understanding what intelligence is and how it works—which is easier said than done—but DeepMind has taken another major step toward that end.
The big leap made by DeepMind and other AI creators involves the development of artificial neural networks (ANN), which emulate the neural networks in human brains. In an ANN, nodes function like connected neurons, collectively processing information. The most exciting and game-changing feature of neural networks is the ability to learn by experience and example, which helps gaming AI effectively respond to opponents.
That’s exactly what Google’s AI AlphaGo did, employing both “value networks” and “policy networks” to understand the layout of the pieces on the board in any given moment and then decide on a play. The AI beat the three-time European Go Champion five games to none, signifying a major triumph in the AI world.
Humans have a history of measuring AI’s meddle by throwing down the gaming gauntlet. IBM’s Deep Blue supercomputer beat world chess champion Garry Kasparov in a 1996 match, though it ultimately lost the set. IBM developers upgraded Deep Blue and in the 1997 rematch, the AI won the majority of games and a place in history. Deep Blue’s programming is the precursor of today’s artificial neural networks, with 30 nodes each containing microprocessors that allowed it to weigh 200 million moves a second. Kasparov claimed that IBM cheated and that the company dismantled the supercomputer before he could have his revenge. IBM denies those claims and says one of their computer scientists offered to rebuild the Deep Blue program in another machine, but Kasparov refused. Who can blame him?
In 2011, IBM’s Watson computer beat the top two human Jeopardy contestants of all time, outscoring them by over $50,000 (don’t feel too bad for them—they got $300K and $200K for playing). Watson not only has four terabytes of information stored away, including all of Wikipedia, and infallible statistical capabilities, but it’s also capable of understanding human speech and responding appropriately—a feat unto itself. Watson had another major advantage: it didn’t have to use the handheld buzzer.
An AI program called Polaris beat human poker champions in 2008, humbling its human counterparts when it adjusted its approach in the middle of a 500-hand round. Soon, robots with AI will be able to sit at the table with humans and win face-to-robotic face. Algorithms are better than humans at assessing whether people are lying—they’re right between 77-82 percent of the time, according to one study, compared to 53 percent accuracy for humans. Facial recognition technology, a common component of many social robots, can link facial expressions and emotional states as accurately, if not more, than humans can. Good luck hiding that tell against a robot.
So…what games can humans win against AI and robots?
Definitely not rock, paper, scissors.
A robot will break your Rubik’s cube-solving record, no problem.
Our chances are pretty good at soccer—for now. Or maybe charades.
Suffice it to say, we should enjoy winning the odd game of hearts against the computer—or other humans—while we can. And be warned: if you invite robots to your game nights, be prepared to lose.