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Warren Hoge

Two Bushes, Two Wars

soldier in Iraq Hadi Mizban / AP Photo In a candid interview, Richard Haass talks to Warren Hoge about what he learned on the policy frontlines of both Iraq conflicts—and why he finally decided to quit W.’s administration.

Richard Haass was a senior Washington policymaker during both Iraq wars—a member of the National Security Council staff in the George H.W. Bush administration and the director of policy planning for Secretary of State Colin Powell under George W. Bush. During beach strolls with me on Martha’s Vineyard in the summer of 2000, he suggested he would return to government if a second Bush administration happened. It did, and he did, but the experiences turned out to be very different. His new book, War of Necessity, War of Choice, tells the story of the two wars and the two Bushes in a richly anecdotal style to delight an old journalist. I caught up with Richard to talk about it last month in his offices at the Council on Foreign Relations, where he has become a president himself.

Why was the first Iraq War one of necessity and the second one of choice?

The first Iraq War was one of necessity because vital U.S. interests were at stake and we reached the point where no other national-security instruments were likely to achieve the necessary goal, which was the reversal of Saddam Hussein’s invasion and occupation of Kuwait. The second was a war of choice simply because U.S. vital interests were not engaged at that point. I thought there were other policy instruments that the U.S. could lean on, largely using diplomacy, strengthening sanctions and so on.

“There’s a pattern in Bush 43’s presidency of being attracted to the big and the bold, and my whole reading of him is that he was instinctively uncomfortable with what you might call a modulated foreign policy.”

You say in the book that Vice President Cheney or someone on his staff was reading U.S. intelligence accounts of your conversations abroad because they thought you might be having unauthorized contacts with Iranian officials. Were they trying to get you fired?

I would have thought that with all the things on his plate, the vice president had bigger things to worry about than me, particularly since he was winning almost all the arguments in the administration, and I was losing all of them. But if I had been doing something unauthorized, that would have given people grounds for canning me. I thought we were making a tremendous mistake by not talking to Iran. The administration had what it thought was a strategy that somehow regime change was going to come, and if only we isolated them enough, the Iranian government and the revolutionary Islamic regime were going to disappear. I thought that was just a fantasy.

To what extent was the son’s persistent desire to topple Saddam motivated by the wish to make the younger Bush appear stronger and more resolute than the father ?

I never heard him talk in those terms. There’s a pattern in Bush 43’s presidency of being attracted to the big and the bold, and my whole reading of him is that he was instinctively uncomfortable with what you might call a modulated foreign policy—a foreign policy of adjustment, of degree. So I don’t think you have to put someone on a couch to say he wanted to complete what his father began. He was conscious about not becoming a second and third term of his father’s foreign policy.

Click Here To Read An Excerpt of War of Necessity, War of Choice

The War of Necessity book cover War of Necessity, War of Choice. By Richard N. Haas. 352 pages. Simon & Schuster. $27. Why did the first President Bush stop the war and not take out Saddam and go all the way in 1991? You say in the book that that was a decision about which there was no internal dissent.

We were very afraid that many of the things that did happen a decade later would happen if we had marched on to Baghdad. Indeed there were some eerie similarities between some of the memos I wrote in the spring of 1991 and what I wrote in 2002 and 2003. There wasn’t an advocate for toppling Saddam in the room, and that includes Dick Cheney when he was secretary of Defense and Paul Wolfowitz when he was undersecretary of Defense.

Why do you think Colin Powell didn’t resign, and if he had, would it have made a difference ?

Powell is an optimist. He thought that over time things would swing his way. Ironically, they did, but it was after he had left. I think as a military man he had a real sense of responsibility, of loyalty. He also had a powerfully developed sense of public service and a belief in what he could do. Not in the arrogant sense but in the optimistic sense. Had he resigned, I'm not sure it would have turned things around. My hunch is that if Powell had resigned, he would have resigned quietly. That's his style, it’s in the man's DNA.

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May 5, 2009 | 5:51am
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Banjo1

I've never heard a clearer argument against electing Jeb Bush, the fat boy from Florida. We've had enough of this dysfunctional clan where the sons have an Oedipal relationship with Poppy. They've brought us enough tragedy.

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8:52 am, May 5, 2009

newyorkcity

Banjo, if you're going to try to bring the literary reference, try to use it right. For the record, an Oedipal relationship with the father would actually imply that the son killed the father without knowing it.

Also, in both this article and in the book it is about, there does not exist a single reference to Jeb Bush at all. If anything, the book and the interview provide a clear argument against fighting wars of choice.

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10:44 am, May 5, 2009

hockeydog

I think what Banjo is trying to say is that if we ever have another Bush for President we will have a third war in Iraq.

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11:48 am, May 5, 2009

Hawnzz

Amen, Banjo... Amen...

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4:52 pm, May 5, 2009

FNYGY1

Newyorkcity, an Oedipal complex is more a psychological term than literary, I think. Freud used it as a description of an offspring's repressed desire to possess the parent of the opposite sex (in classic Freud, the mother) and do away with the parent of the same sex (the father.)

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12:54 pm, May 5, 2009

FreddySez

Every time I hear the question about "Why didn't Bush Sr. 'go all the way' and topple Saddam?" I wonder if all the newspapers and magazines from 1990 have been "disappeared" somewhere.

During the runup to that war, the rhetoric was all about "mission creep" and "quagmires" and making Bush Sr. swear over and over again that we'd liberate Kuwait *and nothing else*. Am I the only person who remembers this?

This is a terrible, recurring failure of our cultural and political memory.

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1:28 pm, May 5, 2009

WorkerBee

I remember it. And the rhetoric was correct. Look what we are in now...A quagmire. Ousting Saddam has put undue stress on our Troops, on our Economy, and on our world perceptions. The first Bush was smart to stop. The second Bush proved to be much less intelligent.

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5:55 pm, May 5, 2009

FreddySez

I'm glad we agree; my point is that -- incredibly, in light of what happened later -- this little piece of historical amnesia is used not to praise Bush Sr., as you have done, but to denigrate him.

You can actually still detect a tone of "if only he'd had the stones to finish what he started..." Which we knew then was the opposite of his public and congressional mandate, and know now would have been a bad idea.

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11:18 pm, May 5, 2009

Hawnzz

I hope history never forgets 9/11. I also hope it never forgets what W did to the country/world after it.

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4:53 pm, May 5, 2009

Spasticula

Being called an "enabler" by your wife was painful?

Know what else is painful Mr. Haass? Being killed after your nation is scapegoated! ...living in a nation where an unpopular boob of a president gave away the treasury to try and buy some popularity. ...living in a nation that tortures ...that uses rendition to do evil shit. That takes a national tragedy and turns it into a fucked-up little frat-boys nose-thumbing "Up Yours!" My friends could tell this was Bush's entire potential before the election. Why couldn't you Mr Haass?

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6:10 pm, May 5, 2009

drkaza12

It was virtually impossible to avoid the course set by cheney and his cabal of Neo-Cons while every room in the White House was being filled with the rarefied air of unilateralism. the stench rendered everyone a zombie -- or neo-con -- same difference -- incapable of free thought.

This was a case of we see what we choose to believe and if our personal hermeneutical is calibrated towards war then the ego kicks in and all events sway in that direction. There are millions of us who knew the information for war was ambiguous at best. i'm of the opinion that Powell wrestled with this ambiguity but being a good soldier and having his armature pitched in defense of his country and being trained to act on orders his judgment was effected.

This is a man who by all indications could have been president of the United States. The man who was asked at the the 2000 RNC convention to speak after George Bush because his power and charisma as a speaker would have dimmed the affect of their choice.

Even now if the GOP wants to recalibrate, Colin Powell should be the GWC to supervise the trimming of the dead brush and the orchestrator of the crop rotation ushering in peanuts to replenish a soil toxic after being depleted by the effects of a, "southern voting strategy".

I respect Mr. Haass, and his work and his dedication to his country. He and the Council are my go to people for foreign affairs. What is hard for me to shake is the bullet Colin Powell took tainting his image to his country and history for loyalty to a sycophant.

Eventually the weight of what really occurred during that administration will exonerate him, and I think Richard Haass calls it when he shares it's not in Colin Powell's DNA to quit; also it's not in his personal script to be disloyal to his Commander and Chief, he is a man of profound loyalty and discipline most of us seldom see.

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12:14 pm, May 6, 2009

Ritarita

drkaza-
Unfortunately
When profound
Loyalty is
Misguided
That makes you
The sycophant
Not the one
You serve.

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6:16 pm, May 6, 2009

drkaza12

Ritarita, Ritarita; while I believe that we are cultivating sycophants in the ROTC's throughout this country like opium poppies in Afghanistan, and that the pledge to be one often begins when they simply say put this on, and our Children do. It is hard for me to reconcile CP as a sycophant.

Sycophant -- A base parasite; a mean or servile flatterer; especially, a flatterer of princes and great men.

While I may be a delusional fan of Colin Powell; frankly I did get a little misty after remembering the 2000 GOP convention, and believe he did ultimately swallow the blue pill, It is hard for me to, again, reconcile CP as a parasitic flatterer of princes, in his basement like GWB dusting off the acquired skull and bones of Geronimo.

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12:36 pm, May 7, 2009
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Two Bushes, Two Wars

by Warren Hoge

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