Insiders Spill Trump’s Secret Plot for Regime Collapse
The president hopes “accelerationism” will defeat Cuba, rather than a full-scale invasion.
Nathan Howard/Reuters
Donald Trump is not in a rush to invade Cuba, as he believes the communist regime could fall apart within a matter of months, according to a report.
Multiple insiders told Axios that the president believes Cuba’s government could collapse by the summer, and that expectation is influencing future policy toward Havana, including whether to eventually resort to military action.
Trump has frequently suggested that Cuba could be his next target after the war in Iran, but so far he has focused on incremental regime-change measures, including economic sanctions and cutting off oil supplies from Venezuela.
“The best way to describe it is ‘accelerationism,’” one senior administration official told Axios, referring to the fringe philosophy of speeding up a perceived inevitable societal collapse. “But we don’t want to kill off the regime just yet. There’s a method to this. It’s in stages.”
There have been protests in Havana against the U.S. pressure tactics against Cuba, including the indictment of its former president, Raúl Castro.
Norlys Perez/Norlys Perez/Reuters
The strategy of waiting for a potential societal collapse in Cuba also gives Trump more time to focus on the deeply unpopular Middle East conflict, which has dragged on for three months.
ADVERTISEMENT
It has been reported that Senate Republicans have warned Trump against opening a fresh conflict with Cuba while the war in Iran continues.
Sign Up for The Swamp Newsletter
By clicking “SUBSCRIBE” you agree to our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy.
“Iran’s not finished, and the president is not in a rush,” another senior administration official told Axios. “Trump wants to exhaust all the levers that he can. But at this point, there aren’t as many levers as before.”
A third senior administration official said the U.S. government still has a “pretty deep toolbox” for maintaining pressure on Cuba, including imposing additional sanctions. “More is on the way,” the official added.
The Daily Beast has contacted the White House for comment.
The Trump administration has insisted there are no immediate plans to invade Cuba to force regime change.
However, a senior official told Axios that U.S. Southern Command, which oversees military operations in the Caribbean, recently conducted a multiagency “tabletop” exercise to prepare for potential military action in Cuba.
“Everything is on the table, but no invasion is planned or imminent,” the official said. “When POTUS says go, we’re ready for anything.”
Officials insist Donald Trump would prefer a peaceful transition of power for Cuba.
REUTERS
It remains unclear what such military action against Cuba might look like. Politico reported earlier this month that options under consideration ranged from a limited U.S. airstrike as a warning shot to a full-scale invasion.
One Trump adviser told Axios that the president is unlikely to launch an all-out war against Cuba and does not want “boots on the ground for more than 48 hours.”
“It’s a quagmire in the making. This could get messy,” the adviser added.
Another adviser described the president’s approach to Cuba as “classic Trump.”
“Push your enemy off balance. It’s pressure, watch the response, apply more pressure, watch the response, apply more pressure,” the adviser said.
Register below to read this article for free or subscribe
to unlock unlimited access to The Daily Beast.
Monthly
$1
First month then $5.99/month
Annual
$35
First year then $59.99/year
Premium
$79
First year then $119.99/year
*Substack access provided by the next business day, using your subscription email. Choosing the Premium plan constitutes your permission to share your subscription email with Substack and your agreement to Substack’s Privacy Policy.
Already have an account? Sign In
Looks like you already have a subscription!
- Account (completed)
- Payment (completed)
- Confirmation (completed)
You're all set!
Thanks for subscribing.
- 1Account
- 2Payment
- 3Confirmation


ADVERTISEMENT
Sign in or create an account
Login dialog
Loading comments…
ADVERTISEMENT
ADVERTISEMENT