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The Obama camp might not know whether to smirk or frown today. Two new national polls released Monday show very different pictures of the 2012 presidential election outlook. According to a new USA Today/Gallup poll, Rick Santorum would beat President Obama 49 percent to 46 percent if the election were held today. Santorum does even better than Mitt Romney, who would only tie Obama 47 to 47, which undercuts the former Massachusetts governor’s claim that he is more electable than Santorum. (Note there is a four-point margin of error.) But in another poll, conducted by Politico and George Washington University, Obama would beat Romney 53 to 43 percent, and leads Santorum 53 to 42. (The margin of victory would be greater than the 3.1 percent error.)