The Social Network -3.90%
The King's Speech 2.50%
Black Swan 0.03%
The Fighter -0.06%
Inception -1.15%
Toy Story 3 -1.84%
127 Hours 1.32%
The Kids Are All Right -0.13%
True Grit 4.02%
Winter's Bone 2.98%
Source:
WiseWindow
WHAT THIS MEANS: Until now,
The Social Network has held the advantage in the Best Picture race. But after sweeping the Director's Guild of America Awards and Screen Actor's Guild Awards this weekend,
The King's Speech is not far behind. It's now a two-way race, with
The King's Speech gaining considerable momentum.
Natalie Portman,
Black Swan 0.03%
Annette Bening,
The Kids Are All Right -0.89%
Jennifer Lawrence,
Winter's Bone -0.99%
Nicole Kidman,
Rabbit Hole 0.76%
Michelle Williams,
Blue Valentine 1.34%
Source:
WiseWindow
WHAT THIS MEANS: Also a two-way race, but a solid lead for Natalie Portman.
Colin Firth,
The King's Speech -2.83%
Jesse Eisenberg,
The Social Network -3.57%
James Franco,
127 Hours -1.65%
Jeff Bridges,
True Grit 4.00%
Javier Bardem,
Biutiful 16.58%
Source:
WiseWindow
WHAT THIS MEANS: Colin Firth looks like more of a lock than ever before after winning the Best Actor prize at the Screen Actor's Guild Awards on Sunday night. And though still a long shot, Javier Bardem rose the ranks significantly this week—most likely due to the wide-release of his film,
Biutiful.
Melissa Leo,
The Fighter -2.14%
Helena Bonham Carter,
The King's Speech 1.22%
Amy Adams,
The Fighter -0.35%
Jacki Weaver,
Animal Kingdom 0.30%
Hailee Steinfeld,
True Grit 1.87%
Source:
WiseWindow
WHAT THIS MEANS: Melissa Leo remains out in front, but Helena Bonham Carter picked up steam this week, which isn't so surprising. Though she's still falling behind the matriarch of
The Fighter, this is a race we won't likely be calling before the envelope is opened.
Christian Bale,
The Fighter -4.63%
Geoffrey Rush,
The King's Speech -2.16%
Jeremy Renner,
The Town 2.54%
Mark Ruffalo,
The Kids Are All Right 4.06%
John Hawkes,
Winter's Bone 10.24%
Source:
WiseWindow
WHAT THIS MEANS:
Though he's slipped in buzz, Christian Bale solidified his lead this week as he picked up yet another trophy for his role in
The Fighter at the SAG Awards. But Geoffrey Rush, who accepted the ensemble cast award at the SAGs along with his
King's Speech castmates, is still a close second.
Darren Aronofsky,
Black Swan -0.40%
David Fincher,
The Social Network -1.56%
Joel Coen and Ethan Coen,
True Grit -2.95%
Tom Hooper,
The King's Speech 7.39%
David. O. Russell,
The Fighter -1.64%
Source:
WiseWindow
WHAT THIS MEANS:
After winning the Director's Guild of America's award for outstanding directorial achievement,
The King's Speech director Tom Hooper climbed significantly in the polls, outpacing Fighter director David O. Russell. He has stiff competition against Darren Aronofsky and David Fincher, but
The King's Speech train is roaring on ahead.
Exit Through the Gift Shop -4.93%
Inside Job -4.04%
Restrepo -5.48%
Gasland 21.07%
Waste Land 22.55%
Source:
WiseWindow
WHAT THIS MEANS:
Exit Through the Gift Shop still seems like a lock, but this week, buzz for Wall Street doc
Inside Job crept up past
Restrepo—probably because it picked up the award for best feature documentary at the DGAs.
Toy Story 3 -1.54%
How to Train Your Dragon -0.13%
The Illusionist 2.96%
Source:
WiseWindow
WHAT THIS MEANS: To Oscar and Beyond! At this point it would take an act of God to stop
Toy Story 3.
The Social Network -0.82%
Toy Story 3 -1.15%
True Grit 0.31%
127 Hours 0.54%
Winter's Bone 1.56%
Source:
WiseWindow
WHAT THIS MEANS: Regardless of any competition remaining in the Best Picture race, Aaron Sorkin, who took home the Golden Globe, seems to have this category locked up for his interpretation of how Facebook came to be. A few points up or down won't change that.
Inception -0.67%
The King's Speech -0.70%
The Fighter -2.73%
The Kids Are All Right 2.62%
Another Year 3.05%
Source:
WiseWindow
WHAT THIS MEANS: Not much change from last week in this category:
Inception is still polling well, but the failure of Christopher Nolan to land a Best Director nomination is pretty solid evidence that the Academy doesn't love
Inception so much as it thinks it ought to love
Inception. So we're not surprised it's dropping some, or that
The Kids Are All Right (which voters really do love), is climbing.
