Why Pundits Keep Making (Often Wrong) Presidential Predictions
Election Forecasters
A desire for higher social status drives pundits to confidently make presidential predictions despite a lousy track record, researchers say. Jesse Singal reports.
As the presidential campaign reaches its crescendo in the next few months, we’re going to see a lot of predictions from pundits—confident, assertively stated grand pronouncements about what American voters want or which candidate has the advantage.
